Modeling the marathon and human endurance performances: some thoughts and what's new?

Abstract

In 1991, I published a physiological model of marathon running performance. My model predicted that it might be possible for a human to run the marathon in less than 2 hours. In this article, I review the genesis of my thinking at that time, share my perspective about what has changed over the last 30 plus years, and speculate about what the future might hold.