Market mechanisms and their role in sustainable food security: Adapting to climate change in arid regions

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures Pub Date : 2024-12-14 DOI:10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100412

Samira Shayanmehr , Samuel Asumadu-Sarkodie , Shida Rastegari Henneberry , Mahmoud Sabouhi Sabouni , Hosein Mohammadi , Riza Radmehr , Elvis Kwame Ofori , Naser Shahnoushi Foroushani

{"title":"Market mechanisms and their role in sustainable food security: Adapting to climate change in arid regions","authors":"Samira Shayanmehr , Samuel Asumadu-Sarkodie , Shida Rastegari Henneberry , Mahmoud Sabouhi Sabouni , Hosein Mohammadi , Riza Radmehr , Elvis Kwame Ofori , Naser Shahnoushi Foroushani","doi":"10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100412","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate change is likely to worsen Iran's food security system if no domestic adaptation or mitigation options are implemented. The main objective of this study is to examine the impact of market mechanisms on food security in Iran under climate change. To achieve this, we develop an integrated approach using Statistical Down-Scaling Model (SDSM), Positive Mathematical Programming (PMP), and spatial equilibrium multi-regional model (SEM). This approach is applied to the agro-ecological zones of Iran for the year 2030. The results indicate that climate change will threaten food availability in arid regions. However, the implementation of market mechanisms can help mitigate these effects, leading to an increase in social welfare by $580.94 and $578.00 million under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5, respectively. Therefore, policies that support market mechanisms and promote regional and international trade are recommended to ensure food security.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34478,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Futures","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100412"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Sustainable Futures","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188824002600","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Climate change is likely to worsen Iran's food security system if no domestic adaptation or mitigation options are implemented. The main objective of this study is to examine the impact of market mechanisms on food security in Iran under climate change. To achieve this, we develop an integrated approach using Statistical Down-Scaling Model (SDSM), Positive Mathematical Programming (PMP), and spatial equilibrium multi-regional model (SEM). This approach is applied to the agro-ecological zones of Iran for the year 2030. The results indicate that climate change will threaten food availability in arid regions. However, the implementation of market mechanisms can help mitigate these effects, leading to an increase in social welfare by $580.94 and $578.00 million under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5, respectively. Therefore, policies that support market mechanisms and promote regional and international trade are recommended to ensure food security.

查看原文本刊更多论文

求助全文

约1分钟内获得全文求助全文

来源期刊

Sustainable Futures Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science

CiteScore

9.30

自引率

1.80%

发文量

审稿时长

71 days

期刊介绍： Sustainable Futures: is a journal focused on the intersection of sustainability, environment and technology from various disciplines in social sciences, and their larger implications for corporation, government, education institutions, regions and society both at present and in the future. It provides an advanced platform for studies related to sustainability and sustainable development in society, economics, environment, and culture. The scope of the journal is broad and encourages interdisciplinary research, as well as welcoming theoretical and practical research from all methodological approaches.