{"title":"Why probability probably doesn’t exist (but it is useful to act like it does)","authors":"David Spiegelhalter","doi":"10.1038/d41586-024-04096-5","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"All of statistics and much of science depends on probability — an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is. All of statistics and much of science depends on probability — an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is.","PeriodicalId":18787,"journal":{"name":"Nature","volume":"636 8043","pages":"560-563"},"PeriodicalIF":50.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-04096-5.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Nature","FirstCategoryId":"103","ListUrlMain":"https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-04096-5","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
All of statistics and much of science depends on probability — an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is. All of statistics and much of science depends on probability — an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is.
期刊介绍:
Nature is a prestigious international journal that publishes peer-reviewed research in various scientific and technological fields. The selection of articles is based on criteria such as originality, importance, interdisciplinary relevance, timeliness, accessibility, elegance, and surprising conclusions. In addition to showcasing significant scientific advances, Nature delivers rapid, authoritative, insightful news, and interpretation of current and upcoming trends impacting science, scientists, and the broader public. The journal serves a dual purpose: firstly, to promptly share noteworthy scientific advances and foster discussions among scientists, and secondly, to ensure the swift dissemination of scientific results globally, emphasizing their significance for knowledge, culture, and daily life.