Exploring complementary effects of solar and wind power generation

IF 16.3 1区工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI:10.1016/j.rser.2024.115139

Gustavo de Andrade Melo , Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira , Paula Medina Maçaira , Erick Meira

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The increased participation of variable renewable energy sources (VREs) in electrical matrices worldwide is essential for achieving several United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), such as SDGs 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy) and 13 (Climate Action). However, it brings several challenges to the planning and operation of power systems, mainly due to the intermittency of VREs. In this context, the complementary effects between different intermittent resources have garnered growing attention in the literature since such properties offer a collective capability to capture the stochastic nature of intermittent power generation when simulating scenarios. This work proposes a stochastic simulation model of renewable energy generation that explores several complementary effects between wind and photovoltaic resources in different Brazilian locations. The approach considers calculating energy generation states to simultaneously represent the generation of multiple renewable sources and using probability transition matrices based on historical data. The synthetic time series are subsequently assessed using statistical methods that indicate good adherence of the generated scenarios to most stylized facts of the historical series.

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探索太阳能和风能发电的互补效应

可变可再生能源（VREs）在全球电力矩阵中的参与度不断提高，这对于实现若干联合国可持续发展目标（SDGs）至关重要，例如可持续发展目标 7（负担得起的清洁能源）和 13（气候行动）。然而，这也给电力系统的规划和运行带来了一些挑战，主要是由于可再生能源的间歇性。在这种情况下，不同间歇性资源之间的互补效应在文献中受到越来越多的关注，因为这种特性提供了一种集体能力，可以在模拟情景时捕捉间歇性发电的随机性。本研究提出了一种可再生能源发电的随机模拟模型，探讨了巴西不同地区风能和光伏资源之间的几种互补效应。该方法考虑计算能源发电状态，以同时代表多种可再生能源的发电量，并使用基于历史数据的概率转换矩阵。随后使用统计方法对合成的时间序列进行评估，结果表明生成的方案与历史序列的大多数风格化事实保持良好的一致性。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 工程技术-能源与燃料

CiteScore

31.20

自引率

5.70%

发文量

1055

审稿时长

62 days

期刊介绍： The mission of Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews is to disseminate the most compelling and pertinent critical insights in renewable and sustainable energy, fostering collaboration among the research community, private sector, and policy and decision makers. The journal aims to exchange challenges, solutions, innovative concepts, and technologies, contributing to sustainable development, the transition to a low-carbon future, and the attainment of emissions targets outlined by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews publishes a diverse range of content, including review papers, original research, case studies, and analyses of new technologies, all featuring a substantial review component such as critique, comparison, or analysis. Introducing a distinctive paper type, Expert Insights, the journal presents commissioned mini-reviews authored by field leaders, addressing topics of significant interest. Case studies undergo consideration only if they showcase the work's applicability to other regions or contribute valuable insights to the broader field of renewable and sustainable energy. Notably, a bibliographic or literature review lacking critical analysis is deemed unsuitable for publication.