Jessica Jordan, Celinie M Nguyen, Lauren M Fletcher, Stephanie C Garbern
{"title":"Clinical prognostic models in children with sepsis in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis.","authors":"Jessica Jordan, Celinie M Nguyen, Lauren M Fletcher, Stephanie C Garbern","doi":"10.3389/fped.2024.1463986","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Sepsis is the leading cause of child death worldwide, with the majority of these deaths occurring in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to describe clinical prognostic scores and models for pediatric sepsis outcomes and assess the performance of these scores for predicting mortality in LMICs.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Ovid Medline, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, EBSCO Global Health, and Web of Science, were searched through September 2022 for citations related to the development or validation of a clinical prognostic score or model among children with sepsis, conducted in LMIC. Titles, abstracts, and full texts were screened by two independent reviewers and data extracted included population characteristics, variables included, outcomes, and model performance. Risk of bias was assessed with the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>4,251 titles/abstracts and 315 full-text studies were screened, with 12 studies meeting inclusion criteria. Study countries included India, China, Egypt, Indonesia, Tanzania, and a multi-site study in Latin America. Prognostic scores/models included existing scores such as PELOD-2, pSOFA, PRISM, P-MODS, refractory shock criteria. There was high risk of bias in all studies. Meta-analysis was possible for pSOFA, PELOD-2, PRISM, and P-MODS, with pooled area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve of 0.86 (95%CI 0.78-0.94), 0.83 (95% CI 0.76-0.91), respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Relatively few clinical scores and models have been externally validated for prognostication and risk-stratification among children with sepsis in diverse LMIC settings. Notably there were no studies from low-income countries. Some potentially relevant studies were excluded due to lack of clarity regarding the presence of sepsis in the study populations. More widespread and standardized use of sepsis criteria may aid in better understanding the burden of sepsis and prognostic model performance at the bedside among children in LMICs. Further research to externally validate, implement and adapt these models is needed to account for challenges in use of these scores in resource-limited settings.</p><p><strong>Systematic review registration: </strong>https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42022340126, PROSPERO [CRD42022340126].</p>","PeriodicalId":12637,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Pediatrics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11524808/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Frontiers in Pediatrics","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fped.2024.1463986","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/1/1 0:00:00","PubModel":"eCollection","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"PEDIATRICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Introduction: Sepsis is the leading cause of child death worldwide, with the majority of these deaths occurring in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to describe clinical prognostic scores and models for pediatric sepsis outcomes and assess the performance of these scores for predicting mortality in LMICs.
Methods: Ovid Medline, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, EBSCO Global Health, and Web of Science, were searched through September 2022 for citations related to the development or validation of a clinical prognostic score or model among children with sepsis, conducted in LMIC. Titles, abstracts, and full texts were screened by two independent reviewers and data extracted included population characteristics, variables included, outcomes, and model performance. Risk of bias was assessed with the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST).
Results: 4,251 titles/abstracts and 315 full-text studies were screened, with 12 studies meeting inclusion criteria. Study countries included India, China, Egypt, Indonesia, Tanzania, and a multi-site study in Latin America. Prognostic scores/models included existing scores such as PELOD-2, pSOFA, PRISM, P-MODS, refractory shock criteria. There was high risk of bias in all studies. Meta-analysis was possible for pSOFA, PELOD-2, PRISM, and P-MODS, with pooled area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve of 0.86 (95%CI 0.78-0.94), 0.83 (95% CI 0.76-0.91), respectively.
Conclusion: Relatively few clinical scores and models have been externally validated for prognostication and risk-stratification among children with sepsis in diverse LMIC settings. Notably there were no studies from low-income countries. Some potentially relevant studies were excluded due to lack of clarity regarding the presence of sepsis in the study populations. More widespread and standardized use of sepsis criteria may aid in better understanding the burden of sepsis and prognostic model performance at the bedside among children in LMICs. Further research to externally validate, implement and adapt these models is needed to account for challenges in use of these scores in resource-limited settings.
期刊介绍：
Frontiers in Pediatrics (Impact Factor 2.33) publishes rigorously peer-reviewed research broadly across the field, from basic to clinical research that meets ongoing challenges in pediatric patient care and child health. Field Chief Editors Arjan Te Pas at Leiden University and Michael L. Moritz at the Children''s Hospital of Pittsburgh are supported by an outstanding Editorial Board of international experts. This multidisciplinary open-access journal is at the forefront of disseminating and communicating scientific knowledge and impactful discoveries to researchers, academics, clinicians and the public worldwide.
Frontiers in Pediatrics also features Research Topics, Frontiers special theme-focused issues managed by Guest Associate Editors, addressing important areas in pediatrics. In this fashion, Frontiers serves as an outlet to publish the broadest aspects of pediatrics in both basic and clinical research, including high-quality reviews, case reports, editorials and commentaries related to all aspects of pediatrics.
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