[Characterization of Industrial Carbon Emission Dynamics and Network Structure Evolution in China].

Abstract

Given that industry is the major source of carbon emissions, clarifying the carbon transfer regularity triggered by industry production linkage is of great importance in realizing the synergistic development of industry to reduce pollution and carbon emissions. Based on the perspective of responsibility allocation, the study accounted for the industry carbon emissions and constructed a carbon transfer weighted directed network model and applied the social network analysis method to explore the structure of the industry carbon transfer network and its evolution characteristics from 2005 to 2020. The results showed that： ① The overall carbon emissions of industries from 2005 to 2020 presented a rapid growth trend and large differences occurred in emissions between industries. ② The scale of the carbon transfer network was expanding rapidly and the characteristics of the small-world network were significant. ③ The community structure of the carbon transfer network was obvious, including four optimal associations： high carbon emission, carbon transmission, carbon endogenous, and high spillover. ④ The construction industry and the metal smelting and rolling processing industry were the core of the carbon transfer network structure, with strong network control. In view of the above characteristics, we proposed countermeasures and suggestions in terms of implementing the allocation of carbon emission reduction responsibilities and differentiated emission reduction measures for associations as well as focusing on the management of core nodes of the network, with the intent of providing cross-sectoral synergistic emission reduction ideas for the development of sustainable low-carbon transformation in China's industry sector.