The effect of recent technological change on US immigration policy

IF 2.3 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI:10.1016/j.jebo.2024.106759

Björn Brey

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Does technological change shape immigration policy in the United States? I argue that if technological change tilts the composition of workers towards manual employment, this leads to a more restrictive immigration policy. A theoretical model and empirical evidence analyzing voting on immigration bills in the House of Representatives supports this. Policy makers representing districts exposed to manual-biased technological change are more likely to support restricting low-skill immigration. Results are confirmed using specific automation technologies: IT capital and industrial robot adoption. The analysis is completed by (i) additional results on trade policy and political polarization, (ii) further stylized evidence on the mechanism.

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近期技术变革对美国移民政策的影响

技术变革会影响美国的移民政策吗？我认为，如果技术变革使工人构成向体力劳动倾斜，就会导致更严格的移民政策。分析众议院移民法案投票情况的理论模型和经验证据支持这一观点。代表暴露于偏重体力劳动的技术变革的地区的决策者更有可能支持限制低技能移民。使用特定的自动化技术证实了这一结果：IT 资本和工业机器人的采用。分析还包括：(i) 有关贸易政策和政治极化的额外结果；(ii) 有关机制的进一步风格化证据。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

3.80

自引率

9.10%

发文量

392

期刊介绍： The Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization is devoted to theoretical and empirical research concerning economic decision, organization and behavior and to economic change in all its aspects. Its specific purposes are to foster an improved understanding of how human cognitive, computational and informational characteristics influence the working of economic organizations and market economies and how an economy structural features lead to various types of micro and macro behavior, to changing patterns of development and to institutional evolution. Research with these purposes that explore the interrelations of economics with other disciplines such as biology, psychology, law, anthropology, sociology and mathematics is particularly welcome.