Emiliano Ceccarelli, Giada Minelli, Antonello Maruotti, Giovanna Jona Lasinio, Marco Martuzzi
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Abstract
In this study, we employ a comprehensive approach to model the concurrent effects of the COVID-19 epidemic and heatwaves on all-cause excess mortality. Our investigation uncovers distinct peaks in excess mortality, notably among individuals aged 80 years and older, revealing a strong positive correlation with excess temperatures (ET) during the summer of 2022 in Italy. Furthermore, we identify a notable role played by COVID-19 hospitalizations, exhibiting regional disparities, particularly during the winter months. Leveraging functional data regression, we offer robust and coherent insights into the excess mortality trends observed in Italy throughout 2022.
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