Fiscal policy and deforestation

IF 3.3 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI:10.1016/j.sftr.2024.100305

Luccas Assis Attílio , João Ricardo Faria , André Rossi de Oliveira

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Abstract

We investigate the impact of fiscal policy on deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon and Atlantic Forests. We first construct a theoretical dynamic model to examine the effects of government spending and tax revenues on the environment. We then run a VAR model to test the implications of fiscal policies on Brazilian deforestation, using data from June 1998 to May 2022. Our results suggest that government expenditures reduce deforestation in both forests. Moreover, deficit-inducing and balanced-budget fiscal policy shocks have dampening effects on deforestation, with the latter being more effective. This is good news for developing countries like Brazil. They can combat deforestation through fiscal policy in a way that doesn't worsen their fiscal situation. Our findings were unaltered when we considered the effects of a simulated fiscal policy based on spending on public goods only (social assistance, science and technology, defense, education, health, national security, and transportation).

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财政政策与毁林

我们研究了财政政策对巴西亚马逊和大西洋森林砍伐森林的影响。我们首先构建了一个理论动态模型，考察政府支出和税收对环境的影响。然后，我们利用 1998 年 6 月至 2022 年 5 月的数据，运行 VAR 模型来检验财政政策对巴西森林砍伐的影响。我们的结果表明，政府支出减少了两种森林的砍伐。此外，赤字诱导型和平衡预算型财政政策冲击对森林砍伐都有抑制作用，后者更为有效。这对巴西等发展中国家来说是个好消息。他们可以通过财政政策打击毁林行为，同时又不会恶化其财政状况。如果我们只考虑基于公共产品（社会援助、科技、国防、教育、卫生、国家安全和交通）支出的模拟财政政策的效果，我们的发现也不会改变。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Sustainable Futures Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science

CiteScore

9.30

自引率

1.80%

发文量

审稿时长

71 days

期刊介绍： Sustainable Futures: is a journal focused on the intersection of sustainability, environment and technology from various disciplines in social sciences, and their larger implications for corporation, government, education institutions, regions and society both at present and in the future. It provides an advanced platform for studies related to sustainability and sustainable development in society, economics, environment, and culture. The scope of the journal is broad and encourages interdisciplinary research, as well as welcoming theoretical and practical research from all methodological approaches.