Transition to a green economy, oil prices and the current account

IF 13.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Solikin M. Juhro , Paresh Kumar Narayan , Bhavesh Garg , Donni Fajar Anugrah
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In this paper we propose and develop the hypothesis that a transition to a green economy influences the consumption-smoothing component of the current account. This is important because green economy has the potential to improve current accounts. Using a sample of 23 countries, we discover that when renewable energy consumption as a share of total final energy consumption is below the threshold value of 23.561 %, there is a negative impact of oil prices on the current account. However, the negative impact diminishes when renewable consumption exceeds this threshold. Interestingly, splitting the sample into current account surplus and deficit countries reveals that a transition to a greener economy mitigates the negative impacts of an oil price rise more so for deficit countries than surplus countries.

向绿色经济转型、石油价格和经常账户
在本文中,我们提出并发展了一个假设,即向绿色经济转型会影响经常账户中的消费平滑部分。这一点非常重要,因为绿色经济具有改善经常账户的潜力。利用 23 个国家的样本,我们发现当可再生能源消费占最终能源消费总量的比例低于 23.561 % 的临界值时,石油价格会对经常账户产生负面影响。然而,当可再生能源消费超过这个临界值时,负面影响就会减弱。有趣的是,将样本分为经常账户盈余国和赤字国可以发现,与盈余国相比,赤字国向绿色经济转型更能减轻石油价格上涨的负面影响。
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来源期刊
Energy Economics
Energy Economics ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
18.60
自引率
12.50%
发文量
524
期刊介绍: Energy Economics is a field journal that focuses on energy economics and energy finance. It covers various themes including the exploitation, conversion, and use of energy, markets for energy commodities and derivatives, regulation and taxation, forecasting, environment and climate, international trade, development, and monetary policy. The journal welcomes contributions that utilize diverse methods such as experiments, surveys, econometrics, decomposition, simulation models, equilibrium models, optimization models, and analytical models. It publishes a combination of papers employing different methods to explore a wide range of topics. The journal's replication policy encourages the submission of replication studies, wherein researchers reproduce and extend the key results of original studies while explaining any differences. Energy Economics is indexed and abstracted in several databases including Environmental Abstracts, Fuel and Energy Abstracts, Social Sciences Citation Index, GEOBASE, Social & Behavioral Sciences, Journal of Economic Literature, INSPEC, and more.
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