Causally-informative analyses of the effect of job displacement on all-cause and specific-cause mortality from the 1990s Finnish recession until 2020: A population registry study

Stephanie Zellers, Elissar Azzi, Antti Latvala, Jaakko Kaprio, Terhi Maczulskij
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Abstract

Background Job loss is related to morbidity and mortality, but generation of causal evidence is challenging due to confounding factors. Finland suffered a severe economic recession in the early 1990s with unemployment reaching almost 25%, with many job losses due to mass layoff or company closure. Such job displacements are assumed to be exogenous to the individual and create a natural experiment for causal inference.
对 20 世纪 90 年代至 2020 年芬兰经济衰退期间失业对全因和特因死亡率的影响进行因果信息分析:人口登记研究
背景失业与发病率和死亡率有关,但由于存在混杂因素,要生成因果关系的证据具有挑战性。芬兰在 20 世纪 90 年代初经历了严重的经济衰退,失业率高达近 25%,许多工作岗位因大规模裁员或公司倒闭而丧失。这种工作岗位的转移被假定为个人的外生因素,为因果推论提供了一个自然实验。
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