Global economic effects of war-induced agricultural export declines from Ukraine

IF 3.3 2区经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI:10.1002/aepp.13468

Amanda M. Countryman, Valentyn Litvinov, Ivan Kolodiazhnyi, Mariia Bogonos, Oleg Nivievskyi

引用次数: 0

Abstract

The war in Ukraine caused export disruptions that jeopardized the availability and affordability of agricultural and food products around the world. This research employs a computable general equilibrium modeling framework to understand the global economic effects of war-induced agricultural export declines from Ukraine, given the inability to export through the Black Sea. Results show net global welfare losses ranging from more than $5 billion to nearly $20 billion depending on the success of transport through European Solidarity Lanes.

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战争导致乌克兰农产品出口下降的全球经济影响

乌克兰战争导致出口中断，危及全球农产品和食品的供应和可负担性。本研究采用了一个可计算的一般均衡模型框架，以了解在无法通过黑海出口的情况下，战争引发的乌克兰农产品出口下降对全球经济的影响。研究结果显示，全球福利净损失从 50 多亿美元到近 200 亿美元不等，这取决于通过欧洲团结通道运输的成功与否。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY-

CiteScore

10.70

自引率

6.90%

发文量

117

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy provides a forum to address contemporary and emerging policy issues within an economic framework that informs the decision-making and policy-making community. AEPP welcomes submissions related to the economics of public policy themes associated with agriculture; animal, plant, and human health; energy; environment; food and consumer behavior; international development; natural hazards; natural resources; population and migration; and regional and rural development.