Global economic effects of war‐induced agricultural export declines from Ukraine

IF 3.3 2区经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY

Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI:10.1002/aepp.13468

Amanda M. Countryman, Valentyn Litvinov, Ivan Kolodiazhnyi, Mariia Bogonos, Oleg Nivievskyi

引用次数: 0

Abstract

The war in Ukraine caused export disruptions that jeopardized the availability and affordability of agricultural and food products around the world. This research employs a computable general equilibrium modeling framework to understand the global economic effects of war‐induced agricultural export declines from Ukraine, given the inability to export through the Black Sea. Results show net global welfare losses ranging from more than $5 billion to nearly $20 billion depending on the success of transport through European Solidarity Lanes.

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战争导致乌克兰农产品出口下降的全球经济影响

乌克兰战争导致出口中断，危及全球农产品和食品的供应和可负担性。本研究采用了一个可计算的一般均衡模型框架，以了解在无法通过黑海出口的情况下，战争引发的乌克兰农产品出口下降对全球经济的影响。研究结果显示，全球福利净损失从 50 多亿美元到近 200 亿美元不等，这取决于通过欧洲团结通道运输的成功与否。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY-

CiteScore

10.70

自引率

6.90%

发文量

117

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy provides a forum to address contemporary and emerging policy issues within an economic framework that informs the decision-making and policy-making community. AEPP welcomes submissions related to the economics of public policy themes associated with agriculture; animal, plant, and human health; energy; environment; food and consumer behavior; international development; natural hazards; natural resources; population and migration; and regional and rural development.

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