Association of transit-oriented development with transit use: Effects of gentrification and spatial autocorrelation

IF 6.3 2区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI:10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.004

Jen-Jia Lin , Tzu-Yun Lin , Bhadradri Raghuram Kadali , Saladi S.V. Subbarao

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The empirical evidence in the existing literature primarily supports the positive association of transit-oriented development (TOD) with transit use. However, indirect relationships between TOD and transit use may be observed due to TOD-induced gentrification and spatial autocorrelation. This research examined the relationships between TOD, gentrification, and transit use with the consideration of spatial autocorrelation. The study observations were from the gentrifiable neighborhoods in Taipei City, Taiwan, and were analyzed using simultaneous equation models and spatial regression methods. Empirical results reveal three major findings: 1) A positive and direct association of TOD-ness with the modal share of transit substantially occurs and confirms the findings in the existing literature. 2) A negative and indirect association of TOD with transit use mediated by gentrification may occur under the moderation of rising car ownership. 3) A positive spatial autocorrelation of transit use substantially occurs between adjacent neighborhoods. These findings prompt local administrations to implement TOD policies containing or being accompanied by instruments inhibiting car ownership throughout urban areas rather than just along major transit corridors.

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公交导向型开发与公交使用的关系：城市化和空间自相关性的影响

现有文献中的经验证据主要支持公交导向开发（TOD）与公交使用的正相关关系。然而，由于 TOD 引发的城市化和空间自相关性，可能会观察到 TOD 与公交使用之间的间接关系。本研究在考虑空间自相关性的情况下，考察了 TOD、城市化和公交使用之间的关系。研究观察对象来自台湾台北市的仕绅化街区，并使用同步方程模型和空间回归方法进行分析。实证结果揭示了三个主要结论：1）TOD-ness 与公交出行比例之间存在直接的正相关关系，证实了现有文献的结论。2）在汽车保有量增加的调节作用下，以城市化为中介的 TOD 与公交使用之间可能会出现负向的间接联系。3）相邻街区之间的公交使用率在空间上存在很大的正相关性。这些发现促使地方政府在整个城市地区而不仅仅是在主要交通走廊实施包含或附带抑制汽车拥有率手段的 TOD 政策。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Transport Policy Multiple-

CiteScore

12.10

自引率

10.30%

发文量

282

期刊介绍： Transport Policy is an international journal aimed at bridging the gap between theory and practice in transport. Its subject areas reflect the concerns of policymakers in government, industry, voluntary organisations and the public at large, providing independent, original and rigorous analysis to understand how policy decisions have been taken, monitor their effects, and suggest how they may be improved. The journal treats the transport sector comprehensively, and in the context of other sectors including energy, housing, industry and planning. All modes are covered: land, sea and air; road and rail; public and private; motorised and non-motorised; passenger and freight.