Digital transformation of enterprises: Job creation or job destruction?

IF 12.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS
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Abstract

In recent years, the technological advancements embodied by digital technology have received significant attention from policymakers and researchers because of their profound impacts on the economy and society. In particular, the relationship between digital technology and employment continues to be a subject of considerable debate. This article focuses on the microperspective, and the causal effects and mechanisms of corporate digital transformation on labour employment are examined. With the use of data on Chinese A-share manufacturing companies from 2008– to 2019, text analysis is employed in this study to construct a comprehensive index of corporate digital transformation. We utilise a combination of fixed effects models, difference-in-differences (DiD) models, and instrumental variable methods and demonstrate that digital transformation stimulates enterprise labour demand, a conclusion that remains valid after multiple endogeneity tests and robustness assessments. The heterogeneous results indicate that nonstate-owned enterprises (non-SOEs), nonhigh-tech enterprises, enterprises with low financing constraints, and small enterprises exhibit greater employment creation effects through digital transformation. Mechanistic analysis suggests that digital transformation increases enterprise employment by increasing operational and management efficiency, profitability, and labour productivity levels. Further exploration reveals that digital transformation increases the demand for labour with varying skills and human capital upgrading in enterprises. This article, through the lens of digital technology, enriches the body of research on the nexus between technological progress and employment, provides novel insights into employment fluctuations under the digital paradigm, and outlines significant implications for countries balancing digital economy development, employment growth, and social stability.

企业的数字化转型:创造就业还是毁灭就业?
近年来,由于数字技术对经济和社会的深远影响,数字技术所体现的技术进步受到了政策制定者和研究人员的极大关注。其中,数字技术与就业之间的关系仍然是一个颇受争议的话题。本文着眼于微观视角,研究了企业数字化转型对劳动就业的因果效应和机制。本研究利用2008-2019年中国A股制造业企业数据,采用文本分析法构建了企业数字化转型综合指数。我们综合运用固定效应模型、差分(DiD)模型和工具变量方法,证明了数字化转型刺激了企业的劳动力需求,这一结论在经过多重内生性检验和稳健性评估后仍然有效。异质性结果表明,非国有企业、非高科技企业、低融资约束企业和小型企业通过数字化转型表现出更大的就业创造效应。机理分析表明,数字化转型通过提高运营和管理效率、盈利能力和劳动生产率水平来增加企业就业。进一步的探索表明,数字化转型增加了企业对不同技能和人力资本升级的劳动力需求。本文以数字技术为视角,丰富了关于技术进步与就业关系的研究,对数字范式下的就业波动提出了新的见解,并对各国平衡数字经济发展、就业增长和社会稳定提出了重要启示。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
21.30
自引率
10.80%
发文量
813
期刊介绍: Technological Forecasting and Social Change is a prominent platform for individuals engaged in the methodology and application of technological forecasting and future studies as planning tools, exploring the interconnectedness of social, environmental, and technological factors. In addition to serving as a key forum for these discussions, we offer numerous benefits for authors, including complimentary PDFs, a generous copyright policy, exclusive discounts on Elsevier publications, and more.
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