Does gambling expenditure have any effect on crime?

IF 5.2 1区医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY

Addiction Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI:10.1111/add.16648

Wai Yin Wan Ph.D., Joanna Wang Ph.D., Donald J Weatherburn Ph.D.

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background and aims

Australians spend more per capita on gambling than any other country in the world. Electronic gaming machines (EGM) expenditure accounts for almost 90% of this expenditure. No study to date has conducted a rigorous longitudinal analysis of the relationship between gambling expenditure and crime. This study aimed to estimate the short- and long-run relationship between gambling expenditure and crime.

Design

Longitudinal analysis using panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) modelling.

Setting and cases

Recorded property and violent crimes committed in New South Wales (NSW), Australia, between 28 December 2015 and 5 January 2020.

Measurements

Monthly gross EGM expenditure profit, broken down by Local Government Area (LGA). Monthly recorded rates of assault, break enter and steal (dwelling), break enter and steal (non-dwelling), break enter and steal (total), motor vehicle theft, stealing from a motor vehicle, stealing from a retail store, stealing from the person, stealing (total) and fraud.

Findings

Each 10% increase in gambling expenditure in NSW is associated with annual: 7.4% increase in assaults, 10.5% increase in break and enter (dwelling) offences; 10.3% increase in break and enter (non-dwelling) offences; 11% increase in motor vehicle theft offences; 8.2% increase in stealing from motor vehicle offences; and 7.4% increase in fraud offences.

Conclusion

Electronic gaming expenditure appears to be positively associated with property and violent crime in New South Wales, Australia.

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赌博支出对犯罪有影响吗？

背景和目的：澳大利亚人在赌博方面的人均支出高于世界上任何其他国家。其中，电子游戏机（EGM）支出几乎占到支出的 90%。迄今为止，还没有任何研究对赌博支出与犯罪之间的关系进行过严格的纵向分析。本研究旨在估算赌博支出与犯罪之间的短期和长期关系：设计：使用面板自回归分布滞后（ARDL）模型进行纵向分析：2015年12月28日至2020年1月5日期间在澳大利亚新南威尔士州（NSW）发生的有记录的财产和暴力犯罪：按地方政府区域（LGA）细分的每月 EGM 总支出利润。每月记录的袭击、破门而入和盗窃（住宅）、破门而入和盗窃（非住宅）、破门而入和盗窃（总计）、机动车盗窃、从机动车中盗窃、从零售店盗窃、从个人身上盗窃、盗窃（总计）和欺诈的比率：新南威尔士州的赌博支出每增加 10%，每年就会增加袭击案件增加 7.4%，非法闯入（住宅）案件增加 10.5%，非法闯入（非住宅）案件增加 10.3%，盗窃机动车辆案件增加 11%，盗窃机动车辆案件增加 8.2%，欺诈案件增加 7.4%：结论：在澳大利亚新南威尔士州，电子游戏支出似乎与财产犯罪和暴力犯罪呈正相关。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Addiction 医学-精神病学

CiteScore

10.80

自引率

6.70%

发文量

319

审稿时长

3 months

期刊介绍： Addiction publishes peer-reviewed research reports on pharmacological and behavioural addictions, bringing together research conducted within many different disciplines. Its goal is to serve international and interdisciplinary scientific and clinical communication, to strengthen links between science and policy, and to stimulate and enhance the quality of debate. We seek submissions that are not only technically competent but are also original and contain information or ideas of fresh interest to our international readership. We seek to serve low- and middle-income (LAMI) countries as well as more economically developed countries. Addiction’s scope spans human experimental, epidemiological, social science, historical, clinical and policy research relating to addiction, primarily but not exclusively in the areas of psychoactive substance use and/or gambling. In addition to original research, the journal features editorials, commentaries, reviews, letters, and book reviews.