ICT Diffusion, Trade Openness and Growth: Empirical Evidence from Asian Countries

M. Chhabra, Anushka Verma, A. K. Giri
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Abstract

The present study contributes to the existing literature of trade-growth and information and communication technology (ICT)-growth nexus by examining the impact of ICT-trade nexus on economic and inclusive growth in 17 developing Asian countries for the time period 2005–2019. Using system generalised method of moments (GMM), the study confirms whether ICT diffusion enhances or distorts the impact of trade on growth. ICT diffusion is measured through a composite index of ICT (mobile, telephone, broadband, internet) constructed using principal component analysis (PCA) along with trade (per cent of GDP), GDP per capita and human development index (HDI) as a proxy for trade openness, economic growth and inclusive growth, respectively. Findings confirm positive impact of ICT diffusion and trade openness on both economic growth and inclusive growth. Thus, trade openness and ICT can be outlined as essential contributors to the growth of the major emerging Asian economies. The study concludes with policy implications focusing on investment in ICT sector and human capital development, which will consequently foster trade and uplift growth. JEL Codes: C23, F14, F43, O33
ICT 传播、贸易开放与增长:来自亚洲国家的经验证据
本研究通过考察 2005-2019 年期间 17 个亚洲发展中国家的信息和通信技术(ICT)-贸易关系对经济和包容性增长的影响,为有关贸易-增长以及信息和通信技术(ICT)-增长关系的现有文献做出了贡献。研究采用系统广义矩法(GMM),证实了信息和通信技术的传播是增强还是扭曲了贸易对增长的影响。信息和通信技术的传播是通过使用主成分分析法(PCA)构建的信息和通信技术(移动、电话、宽带、互联网)综合指数以及贸易(占国内生产总值的百分比)、人均国内生产总值和人类发展指数(HDI)来衡量的,后者分别代表贸易开放度、经济增长和包容性增长。研究结果证实,信息和通信技术的传播和贸易开放对经济增长和包容性增长都有积极影响。因此,贸易开放度和信息与通信技术可以被概括为亚洲主要新兴经济体增长的重要促进因素。研究最后提出了政策影响,重点是信息和通信技术领域的投资以及人力资本开发,这将促进贸易和增长。JEL Codes:C23, F14, F43, O33
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