Decreasing trend in thyroid cancer incidence: a study from central Italy (2007-2019).

IF 3 3区 医学 Q2 ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM
Endocrine Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-08 DOI:10.1007/s12020-024-03995-x
Enrica Santelli, Valeria Ascoli, Daniela D'ippoliti, Paola Michelozzi, Ilaria Cozzi
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Purpose: Due to overdiagnosis, the incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has increased in high-income countries, including Italy. Efforts have been made to address this issue since the mid-2010s, but more information is needed about how TC incidence has changed. We aim to examine the trend in TC incidence in the Lazio Region (central Italy) and assess the impact of the 2014 Italian Consensus for the Classification and Reporting of Thyroid Cytology (ICCRTC) to identify potential changes in TC diagnosis.

Methods: To identify TC cases, we conducted a population-based study (period 2007-2019) using the data from the Lazio Region Cancer Registry (5.8 million residents). We calculated the annual age-standardized incidence rates of TC for both sexes and analyzed the impact of ICCRTC on monthly incidence rates using segmented linear regression applied to interrupted time-series (ITS).

Results: Throughout the 13 years, there was a significant decline in TC annual incidence rates, more pronounced in females. Our results are consistent with reports from outside Europe (United States and South Korea). Following ICCRTC implementation in 2014, a step-change reduction in both sexes was revealed.

Conclusions: Our study indicates a significant decrease in the incidence of TC, particularly among females. The ITS analysis highlights the possible role of ICCRTC in reducing overdiagnosis. As the Lazio Region reflects the Italian population in terms of various demographic, health, and lifestyle indicators, our findings can be applicable at the national level.

Abstract Image

甲状腺癌发病率的下降趋势:意大利中部地区的一项研究(2007-2019 年)。
目的:由于过度诊断,包括意大利在内的高收入国家的甲状腺癌(TC)发病率有所上升。自 2010 年代中期以来,意大利一直在努力解决这一问题,但还需要更多有关甲状腺癌发病率变化情况的信息。我们旨在研究拉齐奥大区(意大利中部)TC发病率的趋势,并评估2014年意大利甲状腺细胞学分类和报告共识(ICCRTC)的影响,以确定TC诊断的潜在变化:为了确定TC病例,我们利用拉齐奥大区癌症登记处(580万居民)的数据开展了一项基于人口的研究(2007-2019年)。我们计算了TC的年度男女年龄标准化发病率,并利用应用于间断时间序列(ITS)的分段线性回归分析了ICCRTC对月发病率的影响:结果:在这 13 年中,TC 的年发病率显著下降,女性更为明显。我们的结果与欧洲以外(美国和韩国)的报告一致。在2014年实施ICCRTC后,男女发病率均出现了阶跃式下降:我们的研究表明,肺结核发病率明显下降,尤其是女性。ITS分析强调了ICCRTC在减少过度诊断方面可能发挥的作用。由于拉齐奥大区反映了意大利人口的各种人口、健康和生活方式指标,因此我们的研究结果可适用于全国范围。
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来源期刊
Endocrine
Endocrine ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM-
CiteScore
6.50
自引率
5.40%
发文量
295
审稿时长
1.5 months
期刊介绍: Well-established as a major journal in today’s rapidly advancing experimental and clinical research areas, Endocrine publishes original articles devoted to basic (including molecular, cellular and physiological studies), translational and clinical research in all the different fields of endocrinology and metabolism. Articles will be accepted based on peer-reviews, priority, and editorial decision. Invited reviews, mini-reviews and viewpoints on relevant pathophysiological and clinical topics, as well as Editorials on articles appearing in the Journal, are published. Unsolicited Editorials will be evaluated by the editorial team. Outcomes of scientific meetings, as well as guidelines and position statements, may be submitted. The Journal also considers special feature articles in the field of endocrine genetics and epigenetics, as well as articles devoted to novel methods and techniques in endocrinology. Endocrine covers controversial, clinical endocrine issues. Meta-analyses on endocrine and metabolic topics are also accepted. Descriptions of single clinical cases and/or small patients studies are not published unless of exceptional interest. However, reports of novel imaging studies and endocrine side effects in single patients may be considered. Research letters and letters to the editor related or unrelated to recently published articles can be submitted. Endocrine covers leading topics in endocrinology such as neuroendocrinology, pituitary and hypothalamic peptides, thyroid physiological and clinical aspects, bone and mineral metabolism and osteoporosis, obesity, lipid and energy metabolism and food intake control, insulin, Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes, hormones of male and female reproduction, adrenal diseases pediatric and geriatric endocrinology, endocrine hypertension and endocrine oncology.
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