Made in Frankfurt? The Monetary Policy of the Swiss National Bank Since 1973

IF 1.5 Q2 ECONOMICS
Alexander Rathke, Tobias Straumann
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Abstract

The paper investigates the monetary policy of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) in the post-Bretton Woods era, shedding light on the dynamics between the SNB and the Bundesbank and its successor, the European Central Bank, respectively. Our econometric analysis shows a high degree of synchronisation between the SNB’s interest rate changes and the decisions made in Frankfurt. The results also suggest a strong tendency toward direct exchange rate targeting before 1999, which coincides with a period of lower demand shock synchronization. This finding is supported by our analysis of the minutes of the Governing Board of the SNB for the period between 1982 and 1993. The discussions and decisions of the board show that Swiss monetary policy was largely guided by policy rate changes of the Bundesbank. The SNB routinely set the policy rate below the policy rate of the Bundesbank to enforce an implicit exchange rate target.

Abstract Image

法兰克福制造?1973 年以来瑞士国家银行的货币政策
本文研究了后布雷顿森林体系时代瑞士国家银行(SNB)的货币政策,揭示了瑞士国家银行分别与德国联邦银行及其后继者欧洲中央银行之间的动态关系。我们的计量经济学分析表明,瑞士国家银行的利率变化与法兰克福的决策高度同步。结果还表明,在 1999 年之前,直接设定汇率目标的趋势非常明显,这与需求冲击同步性较低的时期相吻合。我们对苏格兰国家银行理事会 1982 年至 1993 年期间的会议记录进行的分析支持了这一结论。理事会的讨论和决定表明,瑞士的货币政策在很大程度上以联邦银行的政策利率变化为指导。瑞士央行经常将政策利率设定在联邦银行的政策利率之下,以执行隐含的汇率目标。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
12.50%
发文量
23
期刊介绍: Comparative Economic Studies is a journal of the Association for Comparative Economic Studies (ACES). It aims to publish papers that address several objectives: that provide original political economy analysis from a comparative perspective, that are an accessible source for state-of-the-art comparative economics thinking, that encourage cross-fertilization of ideas, that debate directions for future research in comparative economics, and that can provide materials and insights that are relevant for teaching, public policy debate and the media. Comparative Economic Studies welcome both submissions that are explicitly comparative and case studies of single countries or regions. The journal is interested in papers that investigate how economic systems respond to economic transitions, crises and to structural change, brought about by globalization, demographics, institutions, technology, politics, and the environment. While maintaining its position as an important outlet for work on Central Europe and the Former Soviet Union, the scope of Comparative Economic Studies encompasses other areas as well (European Union, Asia, Latin America, and Africa).
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