Does Being Over 60 Years Old at Index Offense Impact Sexual Recidivism Risk? A Large-Scale Comparison of Men Released Over the Age of 60.

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS
ACS Applied Bio Materials Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-02 DOI:10.1177/10790632241271167
Jeffrey C Sandler, Naomi J Freeman
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Abstract

Research has consistently found risk for sexual recidivism drops as men convicted of a sexual offense age. One question that remains, however, is whether this age-related reduction in risk applies to men who commit their sexual offenses at an older age. The current study examined this question in a sample of 939 men who were screened for civil management and released to the community (mean follow-up = 6.33 years, SD = 3.98 years), by comparing the sexual recidivism rates of (a) 238 men convicted of sexual offenses committed over the age of 60 (Over-60 Index group), and (b) 701 men who committed sexual offenses under the age of 60 but who were released to the community over the age of 60 (Under-60 Index group). Even though the Under-60 Index group was significantly higher risk at release, the Over-60 Index group sexually recidivated at a significantly higher rate, a difference largely driven by the small group of men who had committed sexual offenses both under and over the age of 60. The Static-99R was a strong predictor of sexual recidivism regardless of age at sexual offending (i.e., just under 60, just over 60, or both under and over 60). The 2021 Routine Samples norms significantly overpredicted sexual recidivism for the Under-60 Index group and significantly underpredicted sexual recidivism for the Over-60 Index group, indicating that the use of the 2016 High Risk/High Needs norms could be more appropriate for the Over-60 Index group, particularly those men who sexually offended under the age of 60 before sexually offending over the age of 60.

指数犯罪时年龄超过 60 岁对性累犯风险有影响吗?对 60 岁以上获释男性的大规模比较。
研究一致发现,随着被判定犯有性犯罪的男性年龄的增长,其性累犯的风险也会降低。然而,仍然存在的一个问题是,这种与年龄相关的风险降低是否适用于那些在年龄较大时实施性犯罪的男性。本研究通过比较(a)238 名年龄在 60 岁以上的性犯罪男性(60 岁以上指数组)和(b)701 名年龄在 60 岁以下但超过 60 岁才被释放到社区的性犯罪男性(60 岁以下指数组)的性再犯罪率,对 939 名接受民事管理筛查并被释放到社区的男性样本(平均随访时间 = 6.33 年,SD = 3.98 年)进行了研究。尽管 60 岁以下指数组获释时的风险明显更高,但 60 岁以上指数组的性犯罪再犯率明显更高,这一差异主要是由小部分同时在 60 岁以下和 60 岁以上犯有性犯罪的男性造成的。无论性犯罪的年龄如何(即略低于 60 岁、略高于 60 岁或既低于 60 岁又高于 60 岁),Static-99R 都能有力地预测性犯罪再犯率。2021 年常规样本标准对 60 岁以下指数组的性累犯预测明显偏高,而对 60 岁以上指数组的性累犯预测明显偏低,这表明使用 2016 年高风险/高需求标准可能更适合 60 岁以上指数组,特别是那些在 60 岁以下进行性犯罪活动,然后在 60 岁以上进行性犯罪活动的男性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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