Analysis of Determinants and Factors Affecting Indonesian Soybean Imports

Indah Adelina Siregar, Rahmi Nofitasari, Indah Kartika Sandra
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Abstract

Soybeans are the main food commodity for Indonesian people after rice and corn. Indonesia's population growth every year shows an increase in the need for food, which results in an increase in demand for soybeans. On the other hand, Indonesia's soybean production is experiencing a decline, which has a negative impact on the industry and forces the government to import soybeans from abroad. The objectives of this study are: (1) to scrutinize in part the effects of import prices, land area, production, consumption, and exchange rates on Indonesian soybean imports, (2) The Role of Pricing in Moderating the Impact of Consumption on Indonesian Soybean Imports. analysis in this study, secondary data from BPS, the World Bank, UN Comtrade, and pertinent publications were combined with multiple linear regression. Multiple linear regression and moderation were used in the data analysis process with the software used Eviews 12. The analysis method for this research uses des.cr.iptive analysis, validity and reliability. The research results show that in Indonesia, partially the quantity of imported soybeans has a significant influence on the exchange rate variables, household consumption, import prices and consumption interactions. In the meanwhile, the variables related to production and land are.a do. not significantly affect the amount of soybeans imported into Indonesia. The study's findings demonstrate that import prices have a major impact on Indonesia's imports of soybeans.
影响印度尼西亚大豆进口的决定因素分析
大豆是印尼人民继大米和玉米之后的主要食品。印尼人口逐年增长,对粮食的需求也随之增加,从而导致对大豆的需求增加。另一方面,印尼的大豆产量却在下降,这对大豆产业造成了负面影响,迫使政府从国外进口大豆。本研究的目标是(1) 仔细研究进口价格、土地面积、产量、消费量和汇率对印尼大豆进口的部分影响,(2) 定价在调节消费对印尼大豆进口的影响中的作用。在本研究中,将来自 BPS、世界银行、联合国商品贸易统计数据库和相关出版物的二手数据与多元线性回归相结合进行分析。在数据分析过程中使用了 Eviews 12 软件进行多元线性回归和调节。本研究的分析方法采用了描述性分析、有效性分析和可靠性分析。研究结果表明,在印尼,部分进口大豆数量对汇率变量、家庭消费、进口价格和消费互动有显著影响。同时,与生产和土地相关的变量对印尼的大豆进口量没有显著影响。研究结果表明,进口价格对印尼的大豆进口有重大影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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