European migration governance in the context of uncertainty

IF 1.6 3区社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY

International Migration Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI:10.1111/imig.13308

Mathias Czaika, Heidrun Bohnet, Federica Zardo, Jakub Bijak

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Migration inherently embodies uncertainty and dynamism, eluding precise conceptualization, definition and measurement. Embedded within intricate migration driver environments and shaped by the diverse agency of actors involved—prospective migrants, intermediaries and policymakers—migration defies easy prediction and effective policy response. This inherent complexity within international migration flows poses immediate and long‐term governance challenges. This paper delves into the impact of migration‐related uncertainty on European migration governance. We scrutinize how uncertainty shapes migration policy responses and investigate the roles of key actors in assessing and communicating various facets of migration‐related uncertainty. Employing illustrative cases—the Syrian refugee situation and environmentally induced migration—we uncover how uncertainty influences European migration governance and policymaking. Our study sheds light on the interplay between migration uncertainty and governance processes. The findings emphasize the need for nuanced policy approaches to navigate the complexities inherent in international migration processes.

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不确定性背景下的欧洲移民管理

移民问题本质上具有不确定性和动态性，无法准确地概念化、定义和衡量。在错综复杂的移民驱动环境中，移民问题由相关参与者--潜在移民、中介机构和政策制定者--的不同机构决定，因此无法轻易预测，也无法采取有效的政策应对措施。国际移民潮固有的这种复杂性给当前和长期的管理带来了挑战。本文探讨了与移民相关的不确定性对欧洲移民治理的影响。我们仔细研究了不确定性如何影响移民政策应对，并调查了主要参与者在评估和沟通与移民相关的不确定性的各个方面时所扮演的角色。通过叙利亚难民局势和环境诱发移民这两个说明性案例，我们揭示了不确定性如何影响欧洲移民治理和政策制定。我们的研究揭示了移民不确定性与治理过程之间的相互作用。研究结果强调，需要采取细致入微的政策方法来应对国际移民过程中固有的复杂性。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

International Migration DEMOGRAPHY-

CiteScore

3.70

自引率

10.50%

发文量

130

期刊介绍： International Migration is a refereed, policy oriented journal on migration issues as analysed by demographers, economists, sociologists, political scientists and other social scientists from all parts of the world. It covers the entire field of policy relevance in international migration, giving attention not only to a breadth of topics reflective of policy concerns, but also attention to coverage of all regions of the world and to comparative policy.