Zombies ahead: Explaining the rise of low-quality election monitoring

Sarah Sunn Bush, Christina Cottiero, Lauren Prather
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Abstract

The international election monitoring regime has become considerably more complex in the twenty-first century. Although the number of organizations engaged in high-quality election monitoring has plateaued, the number of low-quality monitors—commonly known as zombie monitors—has continued to grow. Low-quality election monitors threaten democracy because they validate flawed elections and undermine the legitimacy of the international election monitoring regime. This article argues that international politics have played a crucial role in the diffusion of low-quality election monitors. It hypothesizes that ties with autocratic powers that promote low-quality observers and membership in authoritarian regional organizations significantly increase the likelihood that a country will host low-quality monitors at its elections. To test the hypotheses, the article draws on original data on international election observation between 2000 and 2020 that identifies the most comprehensive set of groups of election monitors to-date. A statistical analysis of the dataset supports the argument.

Abstract Image

前方有僵尸解释低质量选举监督的兴起
国际选举监督制度在二十一世纪变得更加复杂。虽然参与高质量选举监督的组织数量已趋于稳定,但低质量监督者--俗称 "僵尸监督者"--的数量却在持续增长。低质量的选举监督者威胁着民主,因为他们验证了有缺陷的选举,破坏了国际选举监督制度的合法性。本文认为,国际政治在低质量选举监督员的扩散中起到了至关重要的作用。文章假设,如果一个国家与助长低质量观察员的专制大国有联系,并且是专制区域组织的成员,那么该国在选举中接纳低质量监督员的可能性就会大大增加。为了验证上述假设,文章利用了 2000 年至 2020 年国际选举观察的原始数据,这些数据确定了迄今为止最全面的选举监督员群体。对数据集的统计分析支持了这一论点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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