Alcohol, Violence, and Injury-Induced Mortality: Evidence from a Modern-Day Prohibition

Kai Barron, Charles D. H. Parry, Debbie Bradshaw, Rob Dorrington, Pam Groenewald, Ria Laubscher, Richard Matzopoulos
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Abstract

This paper evaluates the impact of a sudden and unexpected nationwide alcohol sales ban in South Africa. We find that this policy causally reduced injury-induced mortality in the country by at least 14%. We argue that this estimate constitutes a lower bound on the true impact of alcohol on injury-induced mortality. We also document a sharp drop in violent crimes, indicating a tight link between alcohol and aggressive behavior in society. Our results underscore the severe harm that alcohol can cause and point toward a role for policy measures that target the heaviest drinkers in society.

酒精、暴力和伤害导致的死亡率:来自现代禁酒令的证据
本文评估了南非突如其来的全国禁酒令的影响。我们发现,这项政策使该国因伤死亡率至少降低了 14%。我们认为,这一估计值是酒精对伤害致死率真实影响的下限。我们还记录了暴力犯罪的急剧下降,这表明酒精与社会中的攻击性行为之间存在紧密联系。我们的研究结果强调了酒精可能造成的严重危害,并指出了针对社会中最酗酒者的政策措施的作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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