Optimizing construction supplier selection in conflict-affected regions: a hybrid multi-criteria framework

Abstract

Conflicts and wars profoundly impact infrastructure, exacerbating the adversity already caused by natural disasters. Therefore, it is imperative that the reconstruction process be both effective and efficient to expedite a return to normalcy. This study aims to enhance the efficacy of reconstruction efforts through improved construction supplier evaluation and selection. It introduces an innovative hybrid multi-objective decision-making model that integrates a broad spectrum of economic, technical, and humanitarian criteria. The model is designed to optimally select and assign construction suppliers in regions affected by human and natural conflicts and crises. Fifteen criteria have been incorporated into the evaluation process to validate its effectiveness and maximize its contribution to local communities. This methodology streamlines decision-making and enhances transparency in conflict zones, aligning with the interests of all stakeholders. The study incorporates advanced methodologies, including Fuzzy Goal Programming (F-GP), Geographic Information System (GIS)-based Risk Assessment, and Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (F-AHP), leveraging real-world data and a case study. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis examines the impact of varying inputs on the model's output. The findings attest to the model's utility in conflict-affected regions and its potential applicability in stable settings.