A new approach for assessing the probability of museum opening choices and its spatial continuity

IF 6.2 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI:10.1016/j.seps.2024.102011

Claudia Cappello , Sandra De Iaco , Sabrina Maggio

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In the literature, several approaches and methods were applied for studying the visitors’ profile or the managerial performance and economic efficiency of the museums; however, none of them investigated the museums opening decisions. To this aim an innovative approach which combines multilevel multinomial ordered models and spatial correlation models, is introduced and some advances in logit data geostatistical modeling is proposed together with an extended form of regression kriging, called multilevel logit kriging. Thus, the variation of the probability of the museums opening decisions both at regional and provincial levels for some peculiar museums characteristics, as well as the effect of some specific regional/provincial key factors which might influence their regular/non regular opening are modeled, also with respect to different types of institution (private/public).

The ISTAT microdata concerning the Italian survey on the museums and cultural institutions, will be considered. The empirical findings will provide worthy advices for the development of suitable management policies.

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评估博物馆开放选择概率及其空间连续性的新方法

在文献中，有几种方法和手段被用于研究参观者的概况或博物馆的管理绩效和经济效益；然而，没有一种方法和手段对博物馆的开放决策进行研究。为此，我们引入了一种结合多级多叉有序模型和空间相关模型的创新方法，并提出了 logit 数据地理统计建模的一些进展以及回归克里金法的扩展形式，即多级 logit 克里金法。因此，在地区和省级层面上，针对一些特殊的博物馆特征，博物馆开放决定的概率变化，以及可能影响博物馆定期/不定期开放的一些特定地区/省级关键因素的影响，都将被建模，而且还将针对不同类型的机构（私立/公立）。实证研究结果将为制定合适的管理政策提供有价值的建议。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Socio-economic Planning Sciences OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE-

CiteScore

9.40

自引率

13.10%

发文量

294

审稿时长

58 days

期刊介绍： Studies directed toward the more effective utilization of existing resources, e.g. mathematical programming models of health care delivery systems with relevance to more effective program design; systems analysis of fire outbreaks and its relevance to the location of fire stations; statistical analysis of the efficiency of a developing country economy or industry. Studies relating to the interaction of various segments of society and technology, e.g. the effects of government health policies on the utilization and design of hospital facilities; the relationship between housing density and the demands on public transportation or other service facilities: patterns and implications of urban development and air or water pollution. Studies devoted to the anticipations of and response to future needs for social, health and other human services, e.g. the relationship between industrial growth and the development of educational resources in affected areas; investigation of future demands for material and child health resources in a developing country; design of effective recycling in an urban setting.