The Review of Methods for Analyzing Economic Sanction Effectiveness and Their Adaptation to Assessing the Impact on Russia in New Information Context

A. Chernykh
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The article provides a complex review of methods, which can be used to assess efficiency of anti-Russian economic sanctions focusing on problems and opportunities dealing with their application. The relevant global experience and experience of Russia in 2014-2021 were used to resolve problems of sanction classification and the idea of sanction effectiveness, as well as assessing sanction impact on economy and certain markets of target-countries, for example Russia. Apart from identifying negative aftereffects of sanctions, positive consequences were also shown. In 2022 the situation drastically changed due to unprecedented harsh economic sanctions introduced against Russia, which made the use of traditional methods of appraisal impossible. The author described restrictions of using open data, including the access to national indicators and explained why traditional methods can lead to false conclusions. In spite of new challenges for researchers, stock market still provides certain possibilities for assessing sanction impact on Russian economy.
经济制裁效果分析方法及其在新信息背景下评估对俄罗斯影响的适应性审查
文章对可用于评估反俄经济制裁效率的方法进行了综合评述,重点关注制裁实施过程中的问题和机遇。文章利用相关的全球经验和俄罗斯在 2014-2021 年的经验,解决了制裁分类和制裁有效性理念的问题,并评估了制裁对目标国家(如俄罗斯)经济和某些市场的影响。除了确定制裁的负面影响外,还显示了积极的后果。2022 年,由于对俄罗斯实施了前所未有的严厉经济制裁,情况发生了巨大变化,无法使用传统的评估方法。作者介绍了使用开放数据的限制,包括获取国家指标,并解释了为什么传统方法会导致错误结论。尽管研究人员面临新的挑战,但股票市场仍为评估制裁对俄罗斯经济的影响提供了一定的可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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