Predictive enrichment for the need of renal replacement in sepsis-associated acute kidney injury: combination of furosemide stress test and urinary biomarkers TIMP-2 and IGFBP-7.

Abstract

Background: In sepsis, initial resuscitation with fluids is followed by efforts to achieve a negative fluid balance. However, patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI) often need diuretic or renal replacement therapy (RRT). The dilemma is to predict whether early RRT might be advantageous or diuretics will suffice. Both the Furosemide Stress Test (FST) and measurements of the urinary biomarkers TIMP-2*IGFBP-7, if applied solely, do not provide sufficient guidance. We tested the hypothesis that a combination of two tests, i.e., an upstream FST combined with downstream measurements of urinary TIMP-2*IGFBP-7 concentrations improves the accuracy in predicting RRT necessity.

Methods: In this prospective, multicenter study 100 patients with sepsis (diagnosed < 48h), AKI stage ≥ 2, and an indication for negative fluid balance were included between 02/2020 and 12/2022. All patients received a standardized FST and urinary biomarkers TIMP-2*IGFBP-7 were serially measured immediately before and up to 12 h after the FST. The primary outcome was the RRT requirement within 7 days after inclusion.

Results: 32% (n = 32/99) of SA-AKI patients eventually required RRT within 7 days. With the FST, urine TIMP-2*IGFBP-7 decreased within 2 h from 3.26 ng²/mL²/1000 (IQR: 1.38-5.53) to 2.36 ng²/mL²/1000 (IQR: 1.61-4.87) in RRT and 1.68 ng²/mL²/1000 (IQR: 0.56-2.94) to 0.27 ng²/mL²/1000 (IQR: 0.12-0.89) and non-RRT patients, respectively. While TIMP-2*IGFBP-7 concentrations remained low for up to 12 h in non-RRT patients, we noted a rebound in RRT patients after 6 h. TIMP-2*IGFBP-7 before FST (accuracy 0.66; 95%-CI 0.55-0.78) and the FST itself (accuracy 0.74; 95%-CI: 0.64-0.82) yielded moderate test accuracies in predicting RRT requirement. In contrast, a two-step approach, utilizing FST as an upstream screening tool followed by TIMP-2*IGFBP-7 quantification after 2 h improved predictive accuracy (0.83; 95%-CI 0.74-0.90, p = 0.03) compared to the FST alone, resulting in a positive predictive value of 0.86 (95%-CI 0.64-0.97), and a specificity of 0.96 (95%-CI 0.88-0.99).

Conclusions: The combined application of an upstream FST followed by urinary TIMP-2*IGFBP-7 measurements supports highly specific identification of SA-AKI patients requiring RRT. Upcoming interventional trials should elucidate if this high-risk SA-AKI subgroup, identified by our predictive enrichment approach, benefits from an early RRT initiation.