Consensus credit ratings: a view from banks

IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Ben Lourie, N. Bugra Ozel, Alexander Nekrasov, Chenqi Zhu
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

While the production of credit ratings has long been limited mainly to rating agencies (CRAs), recent years have seen the growing popularity of consensus credit ratings crowdsourced from banks (i.e., bank ratings). We provide the first comprehensive examination of the properties and informativeness of bank ratings relative to CRA ratings. We find that bank ratings often deviate from CRA ratings, with over 60% of firm-months having different bank and CRA ratings. These deviations contain useful information. Bank ratings improve out-of-sample prediction of defaults and CRA rating revisions and explain the cross-section of credit spreads. However, bank ratings do not improve out-of-sample prediction of credit excess returns, indicating that current prices incorporate bank rating information. Overall our findings suggest that bank ratings are a useful supplement to traditional credit ratings.

Abstract Image

共识信用评级:银行的观点
长期以来,信用评级的制作主要局限于评级机构(CRA),而近年来,银行众包的共识信用评级(即银行评级)越来越受欢迎。我们首次全面考察了银行评级相对于 CRA 评级的特性和信息量。我们发现,银行评级往往偏离 CRA 评级,超过 60% 的公司月的银行评级与 CRA 评级不同。这些偏差包含有用的信息。银行评级改善了对违约和 CRA 评级修订的样本外预测,并解释了信用利差的横截面。然而,银行评级并没有改善对信用超额收益的样本外预测,这表明当前价格包含了银行评级信息。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,银行评级是对传统信用评级的有益补充。
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来源期刊
Review of Accounting Studies
Review of Accounting Studies BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
7.10%
发文量
82
期刊介绍: Review of Accounting Studies provides an outlet for significant academic research in accounting including theoretical, empirical, and experimental work. The journal is committed to the principle that distinctive scholarship is rigorous. While the editors encourage all forms of research, it must contribute to the discipline of accounting. The Review of Accounting Studies is committed to prompt turnaround on the manuscripts it receives.  For the majority of manuscripts the journal will make an accept-reject decision on the first round.  Authors will be provided the opportunity to revise accepted manuscripts in response to reviewer and editor comments; however, discretion over such manuscripts resides principally with the authors.  An editorial revise and resubmit decision is reserved for new submissions which are not acceptable in their current version, but for which the editor sees a clear path of changes which would make the manuscript publishable. Officially cited as: Rev Account Stud
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