Correlation of powers of Hüsler–Reiss vectors and Brown–Resnick fields, and application to insured wind losses

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Erwan Koch
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Hüsler–Reiss vectors and Brown–Resnick fields are popular models in multivariate and spatial extreme-value theory, respectively, and are widely used in applications. We provide analytical formulas for the correlation between powers of the components of the bivariate Hüsler–Reiss vector, extend these to the case of the Brown–Resnick field, and thoroughly study the properties of the resulting dependence measure. The use of correlation is justified by spatial risk theory, while power transforms are insightful when taking correlation as dependence measure, and are moreover very suited damage functions for weather events such as wind extremes or floods. This makes our theoretical results worthwhile for, e.g., actuarial applications. We finally perform a case study involving insured losses from extreme wind speeds in Germany, and obtain valuable conclusions for the insurance industry.

Abstract Image

Hüsler-Reiss 矢量幂与 Brown-Resnick 场的相关性,以及在投保风力损失中的应用
许斯勒-雷斯向量和布朗-雷斯尼克场分别是多元极值理论和空间极值理论中的流行模型,并在应用中得到广泛应用。我们提供了双变量 Hüsler-Reiss 向量各分量幂之间相关性的分析公式,并将这些公式扩展到 Brown-Resnick 场的情况,并深入研究了由此产生的依赖性度量的特性。空间风险理论证明相关性的使用是合理的,而将相关性作为依存性度量时,幂变换具有深刻的洞察力,而且非常适合极端风力或洪水等天气事件的损害函数。这使得我们的理论结果在精算应用等方面具有价值。最后,我们对德国极端风速造成的保险损失进行了案例研究,并得出了对保险业有价值的结论。
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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