Analysis of Policy Options Based on Data-Driven Economic Cycles and Industrial Structure Upgrading

Zhe Sun
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Abstract

China's economy has achieved a high growth rate of 9.8% in cyclical fluctuations, and the industrial structure has been continuously improved with growth. However, the irrationality of the tertiary industry structure and its internal structure still restricts the sustainable development. The optimization of the industrial structure depends on many factors, such as government policies, economic growth mode, resource constraints, economic development stage and economic cycle stage. Based on data-driven analysis, this paper analyzes the general path and policy choice of economic cycle to adjust China's industrial structure, and the impact of economic cycle on the upgrading of industrial structure. After the actual analysis, we found that the threshold of economic growth in economically developed regions is high, the role of financial development in stimulating industrial structure is not prominent, and industrial upgrading is relatively difficult. Industrial upgrading is difficult.
基于数据驱动的经济周期和产业结构升级的政策选择分析
中国经济在周期性波动中实现了 9.8%的高速增长,产业结构在增长中不断完善。但是,三次产业结构及其内部结构的不合理仍然制约着可持续发展。产业结构的优化取决于政府政策、经济增长方式、资源约束、经济发展阶段和经济周期阶段等诸多因素。本文基于数据驱动分析,分析了经济周期调整我国产业结构的一般路径和政策选择,以及经济周期对产业结构升级的影响。经过实际分析,我们发现经济发达地区经济增长的门槛较高,金融发展对产业结构的拉动作用不突出,产业升级相对困难。产业升级难度大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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