A competing risk survival analysis of the impacts of team formation on goals in professional football

Frontiers in Sports and Active Living Pub Date : 2024-06-13 DOI:10.3389/fspor.2024.1323930

Sebastian Le Coz, Loic Iapteff, Maxime Rioland, Titouan Houde, Christopher Carling, Frank Imbach

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Abstract

This study investigated the influence of team formation on goal-scoring efficiency through analysing the time required for a goal to be scored in elite football matches.The analysis was conducted using a comprehensive open access dataset encompassing eight major football competitions, including prestigious events such as the World Cup and the UEFA Champions League. It notably focused on the competing risks framework and employed the Fine and Gray model to account for the interplay between two competing events: team A scoring and team B scoring.Through analysis of Team A’s goal occurrences, we assessed the offensive capabilities of its formation and the defensive effectiveness of Team B’s composition in relation to the time it took for Team A to score a goal. Findings revealed that teams employing the 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1 formations outperformed other formations (3-4-3, 3-5-2, 4-4-2, 4-5-1, 5-3-2, 5-4-1) regarding goal-scoring efficiency.By shedding light on the impact of team formation on goal scoring, this research contributes to a deeper understanding of some of the successful strategic aspects of elite football.

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职业足球中球队阵型对进球影响的竞争风险生存分析

本研究通过分析精英足球比赛中进球所需的时间，研究了球队阵型对进球效率的影响。分析使用了一个全面的开放式数据集，涵盖八项主要足球比赛，包括世界杯和欧洲冠军联赛等著名赛事。通过分析 A 队的进球情况，我们评估了其阵型的进攻能力和 B 队组成的防守效果与 A 队进球所需时间的关系。研究结果表明，采用 4-3-3 和 4-2-3-1 阵型的球队在进球效率方面优于其他阵型（3-4-3、3-5-2、4-4-2、4-5-1、5-3-2、5-4-1）。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Frontiers in Sports and Active Living

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