Determinants of Private Infrastructure Investment in India: A Post-liberalization Analysis

Nishija Unnikrishnan, Biju John M, T. P. Kattookaran
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Abstract

In spite of the initiatives by the Government of India for reviving private infrastructure investment, its growth is not up to the mark, especially after the COVID-19 pandemic. It is well known that the contribution of the private sector to infrastructure is inevitable to the overall growth of a country. An enquiry into its determining factors will help to explore the reasons behind the ebb and flow of private infrastructure investment in India and helps in finding solutions to revive it. This paper aims to identify the macroeconomic determining factors of private infrastructure investment in India after the liberalization period. ARDL-bound test results show that in the long run, there exists a positive long-run relationship between private infrastructure investment with gross domestic product (GDP), public infrastructure investment and domestic credit to the private sector, whereas in the short run, it was found that only the GDP and domestic credit to the private sector are statistically significant. Although there are many empirical studies that presented the contribution of macroeconomic factors to the growth of private investment in general, this study stands out as this is the first attempt to identify the determinants of private infrastructure investment.
印度私人基础设施投资的决定因素:自由化后的分析
尽管印度政府为重振私人基础设施投资采取了各种举措,但其增长仍未达到预期目标,尤其是在 COVID-19 大流行之后。众所周知,私营部门对基础设施的贡献对于一个国家的整体增长是不可避免的。对其决定性因素的调查将有助于探索印度私人基础设施投资起伏背后的原因,并帮助找到重振投资的解决方案。本文旨在确定自由化时期后印度私人基础设施投资的宏观经济决定因素。ARDL 约束检验结果表明,从长期来看,私人基础设施投资与国内生产总值(GDP)、公共基础设施投资和私营部门国内信贷之间存在长期正相关关系,而从短期来看,只有国内生产总值和私营部门国内信贷在统计上是显著的。虽然有许多实证研究介绍了宏观经济因素对一般私人投资增长的贡献,但本研究是首次尝试确定私人基础设施投资的决定因素,因此脱颖而出。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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