Forecasting Limits of Feasible Organization Growth by Using Key Predictors of Organizational Transformation

Abstract

   The article studies methodological approach, advanced by the author, to using key predictors of organizational transformation necessary to forecast limits of feasible organization growth within the frames of the present production structure. The principle distinguishing feature of this methodological approach is the use of indicators defined by the author as key predictors of organizational transformation. This set of indicators was identified by the author through results of earlier statistical research of transformation laws of organization production structure in different sectors of economy. With the help of such indicators it is possible not only to describe the predominant type of organization production structure but also, on the basis of their quantitative values, to identify limits of corresponding level of its development. Methodological approach advanced by the author is based on statistical methods of research and gives an opportunity to forecast limits of feasible organization growth based on the earlier developed method of their production structure. Within the frames of the given methodological approach the method of statistical forecasting limits of feasible organization growth was elaborated. The use of this methodology could allow organization management to forecast in advance the moments of coming organizational transformation, which is connected with changes in production structure type and to make necessary managerial decisions.