Climate change, governance, and macroeconomic stability: Empirical analysis in a panel of African countries

Abstract

Based on linear and non-linear threshold modeling, we show that improving governance in all its dimensions is a factor in mitigating the adverse effects of climate change on macroeconomic stability in ten African countries. This result is a contribution to the existing literature that focuses primarily on the effect of governance and climate change on economic activity, with the addition of indirect and threshold effects. It also sheds new empirical light on this issue in a sample of African countries that are particularly exposed to climate change, cyclical fluctuations, and poor governance; countries that have not been sufficiently considered in existing empirical literature.