Influence of the development of solar photovoltaic industry on the relationship between supply and demand of key minerals in China

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI:10.1063/5.0202427

Qing Guo, Kaiyi Wu

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Abstract

The importance of mineral resources cannot be ignored in the country's economic and social development and is of vital significance in securing China's continued economic and social prosperity. Against the backdrop of the country's active promotion of the clean energy industry, the booming development of the photovoltaic industry has triggered a growing demand for its key raw materials, especially important metallic minerals. Based on the system dynamics theory, the article uses Vensim to construct a photovoltaic cell-key metal mineral simulation model to analyze the development of China's photovoltaic industry in depth and focuses on its far-reaching impact on the supply and demand relationship of key minerals. The results of the study show that (1) China's photovoltaic cells show strong growth; (2) recycling and technology substitution can significantly reduce the risk of copper and aluminum supply and demand imbalance; and (3) technology substitution is more effective than recycling in reducing the supply and demand imbalance of copper and aluminum. Based on the above-mentioned findings, the article puts forward corresponding policy recommendations.

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太阳能光伏产业发展对中国主要矿产品供求关系的影响

矿产资源在国家经济和社会发展中的重要性不容忽视，对于确保中国经济和社会的持续繁荣具有至关重要的意义。在国家积极推进清洁能源产业的背景下，光伏产业的蓬勃发展引发了对其关键原材料，尤其是重要金属矿产日益增长的需求。文章以系统动力学理论为基础，利用 Vensim 构建了光伏电池-关键金属矿产仿真模型，深入分析了我国光伏产业的发展情况，并重点探讨了其对关键矿产供需关系的深远影响。研究结果表明：（1）中国光伏电池呈现出强劲的增长势头；（2）回收利用和技术替代可以显著降低铜铝供需失衡的风险；（3）在降低铜铝供需失衡方面，技术替代比回收利用更有效。基于上述结论，文章提出了相应的政策建议。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.