The Impact of Gross Domestic Products (GDP), US Dollar Exchange Rates and Money Supply on Indonesian Salt Imports From 2003 To 2022

Dhammananda Lucman, Ni Putu Martini Dewi
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Abstract

International trade is an important aspect of a country's economy. International trade is the exchange of goods, services, or other factors of production across national borders. One example of international trade is exports and imports. Export and import activities have a close relationship with demand and supply. In this study, we will examine one of the important aspects of international trade, namely imports. Indonesia, as a country that has a wide coastline and a large water area, still needs to import salt from other countries to meet the salt needs in Indonesia itself. Therefore, research will be conducted on salt imports in Indonesia as influenced by Gross Domestic Product, US Dollar Exchange Rate, and Money Supply. In this study, there is a period of twenty years, from 2003 to 2022. The number of observations in this study is eighty because there are four variables with a research data period of twenty years. The objectives of this study are 1) to analyze the effect of GDP, the US Dollar Exchange Rate, and the Amount of Money in Circulation simultaneously on Salt imports in Indonesia in 2003–2022, 2) to analyze the effect of GDP, the US Dollar Exchange Rate, and the Amount of Money in Circulation partially on Salt imports in Indonesia in 2003–2022, and 3) to find out the variables that have the most dominant influence on Salt Imports in Indonesia in 2003–2022. The results of this study show that GDP and the amount of money in circulation have a positive effect on salt imports in Indonesia in 2003–2022, and the US dollar exchange rate has a negative effect on salt imports in Indonesia. Gross Domestic Product has the most dominant influence on the Salt Import variable, among other variables.
2003 至 2022 年国内生产总值 (GDP)、美元汇率和货币供应量对印尼食盐进口的影响
国际贸易是国家经济的一个重要方面。国际贸易是跨越国界的货物、服务或其他生产要素的交换。国际贸易的一个例子就是出口和进口。进出口活动与供求关系密切相关。在本研究中,我们将探讨国际贸易的一个重要方面,即进口。印尼是一个海岸线宽广、水域面积较大的国家,仍然需要从其他国家进口食盐,以满足印尼本国的食盐需求。因此,将对印尼食盐进口受国内生产总值、美元汇率和货币供应量的影响进行研究。本研究的时间跨度为二十年,从 2003 年到 2022 年。由于有四个变量,研究数据期为二十年,因此本研究的观测点数量为八十个。本研究的目标是:1)分析 2003-2022 年国内生产总值、美元汇率和流通货币量同时对印尼食盐进口的影响;2)分析 2003-2022 年国内生产总值、美元汇率和流通货币量部分对印尼食盐进口的影响;3)找出对 2003-2022 年印尼食盐进口影响最大的变量。研究结果表明,国内生产总值和流通中的货币量对 2003-2022 年印尼食盐进口有积极影响,美元汇率对印尼食盐进口有消极影响。在其他变量中,国内生产总值对食盐进口变量的影响最大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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