{"title":"Optimizing predictions: improved performance of preoperative gadobenate-enhanced MRI hepatobiliary phase features in predicting vessels encapsulating tumor clusters in hepatocellular carcinoma-a multicenter study.","authors":"Huilin Chen, Hui Dong, Ruilin He, Mengting Gu, Xingyu Zhao, Kairong Song, Wenjie Zou, Ningyang Jia, Wanmin Liu","doi":"10.1007/s00261-024-04283-y","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Vessels Encapsulating Tumor Clusters (VETC) are now recognized as independent indicators of recurrence and overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. However, there has been limited investigation into predicting the VETC pattern using hepatobiliary phase (HBP) features from preoperative gadobenate-enhanced MRI.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This study involved 252 HCC patients with confirmed VETC status from three different hospitals (Hospital 1: training set with 142 patients; Hospital 2: test set with 64 patients; Hospital 3: validation set with 46 patients). Independent predictive factors for VETC status were determined through univariate and multivariate logistic analyses. Subsequently, these factors were used to construct two distinct VETC prediction models. Model 1 included all independent predictive factors, while Model 2 excluded HBP features. The performance of both models was assessed using the Area Under the Curve (AUC), Decision Curve Analysis, and Calibration Curve. Prediction accuracy between the two models was compared using Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) and Integrated Discriminant Improvement (IDI).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>CA199, IBIL, shape, peritumoral hyperintensity on HBP, and arterial peritumoral enhancement were independent predictors of VETC. Model 1 showed robust predictive performance, with AUCs of 0.836 (training), 0.811 (test), and 0.802 (validation). Model 2 exhibited moderate performance, with AUCs of 0.813, 0.773, and 0.783 in the respective sets. Calibration and decision curves for both models indicated consistent predictions between predicted and actual VETC, benefiting HCC patients. NRI showed Model 1 increased by 0.326, 0.389, and 0.478 in the training, test, and validation sets compared to Model 2. IDI indicated Model 1 increased by 0.036, 0.028, and 0.025 in the training, test, and validation sets compared to Model 2.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>HBP features from preoperative gadobenate-enhanced MRI can enhance the predictive performance of VETC in HCC.</p>","PeriodicalId":7126,"journal":{"name":"Abdominal Radiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Abdominal Radiology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00261-024-04283-y","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/5/7 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"RADIOLOGY, NUCLEAR MEDICINE & MEDICAL IMAGING","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Vessels Encapsulating Tumor Clusters (VETC) are now recognized as independent indicators of recurrence and overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. However, there has been limited investigation into predicting the VETC pattern using hepatobiliary phase (HBP) features from preoperative gadobenate-enhanced MRI.
Methods: This study involved 252 HCC patients with confirmed VETC status from three different hospitals (Hospital 1: training set with 142 patients; Hospital 2: test set with 64 patients; Hospital 3: validation set with 46 patients). Independent predictive factors for VETC status were determined through univariate and multivariate logistic analyses. Subsequently, these factors were used to construct two distinct VETC prediction models. Model 1 included all independent predictive factors, while Model 2 excluded HBP features. The performance of both models was assessed using the Area Under the Curve (AUC), Decision Curve Analysis, and Calibration Curve. Prediction accuracy between the two models was compared using Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) and Integrated Discriminant Improvement (IDI).
Results: CA199, IBIL, shape, peritumoral hyperintensity on HBP, and arterial peritumoral enhancement were independent predictors of VETC. Model 1 showed robust predictive performance, with AUCs of 0.836 (training), 0.811 (test), and 0.802 (validation). Model 2 exhibited moderate performance, with AUCs of 0.813, 0.773, and 0.783 in the respective sets. Calibration and decision curves for both models indicated consistent predictions between predicted and actual VETC, benefiting HCC patients. NRI showed Model 1 increased by 0.326, 0.389, and 0.478 in the training, test, and validation sets compared to Model 2. IDI indicated Model 1 increased by 0.036, 0.028, and 0.025 in the training, test, and validation sets compared to Model 2.
Conclusion: HBP features from preoperative gadobenate-enhanced MRI can enhance the predictive performance of VETC in HCC.
期刊介绍:
Abdominal Radiology seeks to meet the professional needs of the abdominal radiologist by publishing clinically pertinent original, review and practice related articles on the gastrointestinal and genitourinary tracts and abdominal interventional and radiologic procedures. Case reports are generally not accepted unless they are the first report of a new disease or condition, or part of a special solicited section.
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