Measuring Absolute Income Mobility: Lessons from North America and Europe

Robert A. Manduca, Maximilian Hell, Adrian Adermon, J. Blanden, E. Bratberg, A. C. Gielen, Hans van Kippersluis, Keunbok Lee, Stephen Machin, Martin D. Munk, Martin Nybom, Yuri Ostrovsky, Sumaiya Rahman, Outi Sirniö
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Abstract

We use linked parent–child administrative data for five countries in North America and Europe, as well as detailed survey data for two more, to investigate methodological challenges in the estimation of absolute income mobility. We show that the commonly used “copula and marginals” approximation methods perform well across countries in our sample, and the greatest challenges to their accuracy stem not from assumptions about relative mobility rates over time but from the use of nonrepresentative marginal income distributions. We also provide a multicountry analysis of sensitivity to specification decisions related to age of income measurement, income concept, family structure, and price index. (JEL D31, G51, I31, J12, J31, J62)
衡量绝对收入流动性:北美和欧洲的经验教训
我们利用北美和欧洲五个国家的关联亲子行政数据,以及另外两个国家的详细调查数据,研究了绝对收入流动性估算方法上的挑战。我们的研究表明,常用的 "共轭和边际 "近似方法在样本国家中表现良好,其准确性所面临的最大挑战不是来自对随时间变化的相对流动率的假设,而是来自对非代表性边际收入分布的使用。我们还对与收入测量年龄、收入概念、家庭结构和价格指数相关的规范决策的敏感性进行了多国分析。(JEL D31, G51, I31, J12, J31, J62)
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