Theories of Uncertainty Communication: An Interdisciplinary Literature Review

IF 4.6 1区文学 Q1 COMMUNICATION

Science Communication Pub Date : 2024-04-06 DOI:10.1177/10755470241231290

Wouter Lammers, Sacha Ferrari, Sylvia Wenmackers, Valérie Pattyn, Steven Van de Walle

引用次数: 0

Abstract

This systematic literature review presents an interdisciplinary overview of theories tested in experiments on the effects of communicating uncertainty. Using a machine learning-aided pipeline, we selected and manually coded 413 experimental studies. We discuss core assumptions and predictions of the main theories of uncertainty communication. Most normative theorizing (e.g., Bayesianism, Expected Utility Theory) is rooted in Probability Theory, which is only suitable for addressing shallow and medium uncertainty. This explains the underrepresentation of experimental research into deep uncertainty communication. To foster a more comprehensive understanding of uncertainty communication effects, we identify research questions and theories deserving greater attention.

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不确定性传播理论：跨学科文献综述

这篇系统性文献综述介绍了在实验中检验过的关于传播不确定性影响的跨学科理论。我们使用机器学习辅助方法，选择了 413 项实验研究，并对其进行了人工编码。我们讨论了不确定性交流主要理论的核心假设和预测。大多数规范性理论（如贝叶斯主义、期望效用理论）都植根于概率论，而概率论只适合解决浅层和中层不确定性问题。这就解释了为什么对深度不确定性沟通的实验研究较少。为了促进对不确定性沟通效果的更全面理解，我们确定了值得更多关注的研究问题和理论。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Science Communication COMMUNICATION-

CiteScore

13.50

自引率

4.40%

发文量

期刊介绍： Science Communication is a prestigious journal that focuses on communication research. It is recognized globally for publishing top-quality manuscripts that demonstrate excellent theoretical frameworks and robust methodology. Our journal embraces a broad definition of science, encompassing not only the natural and physical sciences but also social science, technology, environment, engineering, and health. Regardless of the scientific area, effective communication is always the focal point of our investigations. Apart from theoretical and methodological rigor, we place great emphasis on the practical implications of scientific communication. Therefore, we expect all submitted manuscripts to address the real-world applications and significance of their research, alongside theoretical considerations. In summary, Science Communication is an internationally renowned journal dedicated to bridging the gap between science and society. By promoting effective communication in various scientific domains, we strive to engage readers with intriguing research that has tangible implications for the world around us.