The Belt and Road Initiative and export variety: 1996–2019

IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Yuxin Lu, Joanna Wolszczak-Derlacz
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study examines the association between the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and export variety (EV). We propose three hypotheses on how BRI may foster export markets (destinations) or export product lines. The estimates are based on a dataset constructed specifically for this analysis, covering 183 countries and linked with trade data from 1996 to 2019. We apply the instrumental variable (IV) approach in regressions for covering the endogeneity. The results indicate that participation in BRI is negatively related to EV. Specifically, we find evidence that, on average, BRI participants have less EV (by product and by destination) and greater export concentration. As regards participation in the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and BRI meanwhile (AIIB_BRI and AIIB_MOU), the results show a more negative effect. And there are heterogeneous effects of BRI across different economies and sectors.

一带一路 "倡议与出口品种:1996-2019 年
本研究探讨了 "一带一路 "倡议(BRI)与出口品种(EV)之间的关联。我们就 "一带一路 "倡议如何促进出口市场(目的地)或出口产品线提出了三个假设。估算基于专门为本分析构建的数据集,该数据集涵盖 183 个国家,并与 1996 年至 2019 年的贸易数据相关联。我们在回归中采用了工具变量(IV)方法来解决内生性问题。结果表明,参与 BRI 与电动汽车呈负相关。具体而言,我们发现有证据表明,平均而言,金砖四国参与者的出口创汇(按产品和目的地)较少,出口集中度较高。至于同时参与亚洲基础设施投资银行和非洲基础设施投资倡议(AIIB_BRI 和 AIIB_MOU),结果显示负面影响更大。在不同的经济体和行业中,金砖四国的影响也不尽相同。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
27
期刊介绍: Asian-Pacific Economic Literature (APEL) is an essential resource for anyone interested in economic development in the Asian-Pacific region. With original articles on topical policy issues, literature surveys, and abstracts of articles from over 300 journals, APEL makes it easy for you to keep ahead of the proliferating research on this dynamic and increasingly important region. Read by politicians, journalists, businesspeople, policy-makers, industrialists and academics, APEL avoids technical jargon, and is the only journal devoted to one-stop, in-depth reporting of research on the development of Asian-Pacific economies.
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