Sectoral development of rural territorial systems of Russia in conditions of modern economic uncertainty

L. Krasil'nikova, Ol'ga Ruschickaya, D. Balandin, T. Kruzhkova
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Abstract

Abstract. The purpose of the study is to examine the patterns of sectoral development of rural territorial systems in conditions of modern economic uncertainty using the example of a number of regions of the Russian Federation. The results of the work of modern authors in the field of rural economics and agricultural production are summarized and interpreted, which made it possible to calculate forecasts for the development of agricultural sectors in the Volga Federal District and the Perm Territory of the Russian Federation for the period until 2030. The scientific novelty lies in the assessment of the sectoral development of agro-industrial territorial systems, through the study of the dynamics of the main indicators of agricultural activity using trend analysis in a fairly short period of modern economic uncertainty, which is a significant step forward in this area of scientific research. To identify the dynamics and forecast the development of the main sectors of agricultural production, methods were used to graphically identify linear dependence and construct linear trends using homogeneous statistical indicators. The main results of the study are the developed measures for the stable sectoral development of rural areas of the Russian Federation in modern conditions and overcoming the existing regional differentiation. The implementation of measures involves the introduction of innovative solutions that provide an adaptive response to market trends and changes in the influence of external factors in the regional management of sectoral development of rural areas. Thus, the study provides a basis for understanding the components of sectoral development of rural areas and allows us to identify ways to constructively solve complex and multifaceted problems associated with the stabilization of agricultural production. The practical significance of the proposed solutions lies in their relevance in the activities of regional government authorities and relevant departments in the processes of improving the management of sectoral development of rural areas as part of the implementation of strategic documents for the spatial and sectoral development of the Russian Federation.
现代经济不确定性条件下俄罗斯农村地域系统的部门发展
摘要本研究的目的是以俄罗斯联邦的一些地区为例,研究在现代经济不确定性条件下农村地区系统的部门发展模式。对现代农村经济学和农业生产领域作者的工作成果进行了总结和解释,从而计算出俄罗斯联邦伏尔加联邦区和彼尔姆边疆区 2030 年前农业部门发展的预测。科学新颖性在于,在现代经济不确定性的相当短的时期内,通过使用趋势分析法对农业活动主要指标的动态进行研究,从而对农工地域系统的部门发展进行评估,这是在这一科学研究领域迈出的重要一步。为确定农业生产主要部门的动态并预测其发展,采用了以图形方式确定线性依赖关系的方法,并利用同质统计指标构建线性趋势。研究的主要成果是为俄罗斯联邦农村地区在现代条件下的稳定部门发展和克服现有的地区差异制定了措施。措施的实施包括引入创新解决方案,在农村地区部门发展的地区管理中对市场趋势和外部因素影响的变化做出适应性反应。因此,本研究为了解农村地区部门发展的组成部分提供了基础,使我们能够确定建设性地解决与稳定农业生产有关的复杂和多方面问题的方法。所提解决方案的实际意义在于,它们对地区政府当局和相关部门在改善农村地区部门发展管理过程中的活动具有现实意义,是实施俄罗斯联邦空间和部门发展战略文件的一部分。
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