The Multifaceted Impacts and Reasons of the Ukraine War: A Theoretical Analysis

Seda Gözde Tokatli
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Abstract

The armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine that began in 2022 has reached diverse effects and reasons in the system. But Russia deems Ukraine within her sphere of influence and has been infuriated at Ukraine’s nearness with the West and her desire to join NATO or the EU. The main purpose of this article is to discuss the multiple effects of the conflict on the global powers and explain how states’ national interests and goals have driven their responses in the foreign policy. The main driving point of this article is to focus on the several reasons and effects of Ukraine war that shakes the balance between the global powers in the world and how it disturbs the already existing order. This article will benefit from the perspectives of realism theory when deciphering the causes of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the regional and global implications of this conflict in various ways. To reveal the increasing power race within the system, to be able to see the changing balances within the framework of the concept of national interest and to see the impact of the war within the system, the theory of neorealism has been included in the study. This article will focus on three levels of analysis such as individual, state, and systemic in examining the main driving forces behind of Russia and Ukraine conflict. This war was not only occurred between Russia and Ukraine, it has had also created a huge impact on the other regions or international organizations in a different area. Regardless of the outcome of the war in Ukraine, Russia remains the most dangerous, immediate, and long-term threat to the Euro-Atlantic community and rules-based world order. During this study, it will focus on the descriptive theory by using comparison methods and techniques.
乌克兰战争的多方面影响和原因:理论分析
始于 2022 年的俄罗斯与乌克兰之间的武装冲突在整个体系中产生了不同的影响和原因。但俄罗斯认为乌克兰在其势力范围之内,并对乌克兰接近西方、希望加入北约或欧盟感到愤怒。本文的主要目的是讨论冲突对全球大国的多重影响,并解释各国的国家利益和目标是如何促使其在外交政策中做出反应的。本文的主要驱动点是集中讨论乌克兰战争动摇世界大国之间平衡的几个原因和影响,以及它是如何扰乱现有秩序的。本文将从现实主义理论的视角出发,解读俄罗斯与乌克兰之间冲突的原因,以及这场冲突对地区和全球的各种影响。为了揭示体系内日益加剧的权力角逐,为了能够看到国家利益概念框架内不断变化的平衡,为了看到战争在体系内的影响,新现实主义理论被纳入了研究。本文将重点从个人、国家和系统三个层面分析俄罗斯与乌克兰冲突背后的主要驱动力。这场战争不仅发生在俄罗斯和乌克兰之间,还对其他地区或不同领域的国际组织产生了巨大影响。无论乌克兰战争的结果如何,俄罗斯仍然是欧洲-大西洋共同体和基于规则的世界秩序最危险、最直接和最长期的威胁。在本研究中,将通过使用比较方法和技术,重点关注描述性理论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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