Assessment of Government Liberalization Policy and the Growth in Nigeria’s Trade Industry

C. Nwankwo, V. Nwokocha
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Abstract

Following the outbreak of COVID-19 and the contraction of government revenue, it has become increasingly difficult for government to continue with “subsidy oriented” policies hence, this paper evaluates Nigeria’s liberalization policies as a major drivers of trade growth in the country.  A quantitative approach was adopted in this paper. Data used in this paper were secondary data sourced from World bank indicators and Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin (1980-2018 version). This paper used Error Correction Classical Linear Regression estimate to analyse the data. The result of the study showed that changes in the key liberalization policy variables have significant influence on output growth but not statistically significant to trade growth. Industrialization oriented policies was therefore recommended for Nigeria to actualize her dreams of being an industrialized country, a strong and competitive institution that foster a sustainable industrial sector through policy is also advised. This study adds to the limited available evidence concerning the contribution of government liberation policy on the growth of Nigeria trade sector. It stands as the first to consider trade openness, government liberation policy and the Nigeria industrial sector.    Received: 18 June 2023 / Accepted: 15 February 2024 / Published: xx March 2024
政府自由化政策与尼日利亚贸易业增长的评估
随着 COVID-19 的爆发和政府收入的缩减,政府越来越难以继续实施 "以补贴为导向 "的政策,因此,本文对尼日利亚作为该国贸易增长主要推动力的自由化政策进行了评估。 本文采用了定量方法。本文使用的数据来自世界银行指标和尼日利亚中央银行统计公报(1980-2018 年版)中的二手数据。本文使用误差修正经典线性回归估计来分析数据。研究结果表明,主要自由化政策变量的变化对产出增长有显著影响,但对贸易增长的影响在统计上并不显著。因此,建议尼日利亚采取以工业化为导向的政策,以实现其成为工业化国家的梦想,同时还建议尼日利亚建立一个强大且具有竞争力的机构,通过政策促进工业部门的可持续发展。关于政府解放政策对尼日利亚贸易部门增长的贡献,本研究为有限的现有证据增添了新的内容。本研究首次对贸易开放度、政府解放政策和尼日利亚工业部门进行了研究。 收到:2023 年 6 月 18 日 / 已接受:2024 年 2 月 15 日 / 出版:2024 年 3 月 xx 日
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