Analysis of Malaysia's Export Potential of Palm Oil and Its Products to RCEP Member Countries

Xiaoxi Yang, Junpei Zhai, Tajul Ariffin Masron
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Abstract

This study explores the export potential of the Malaysian palm oil industry to RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) member countries based on the regional economic framework. The panel data from 2018 to 2022 were analyzed using the Trade Gravity Model, RCA (Revealed Comparative Advantage), and TCI (Trade Complementarity Index) indices. The results categorize the fifteen RCEP member countries into three potential classes based on the type of potential. In addition, it was found that the trade complementarity of RCEP member countries showed a significant positive correlation with the export size of Malaysian palm oil and its products. The study provides insights into the trade pattern of palm oil in the region and provides a valuable reference for future trade policy formulation and industry development and provides a basis for research related to the sustainable development of the Malaysian palm oil industry.  
马来西亚棕榈油及其产品对 RCEP 成员国的出口潜力分析
本研究基于区域经济框架,探讨马来西亚棕榈油产业对RCEP(区域全面经济伙伴关系)成员国的出口潜力。采用贸易引力模型、RCA(显性比较优势)和TCI(贸易互补指数)指数分析了2018年至2022年的面板数据。结果根据潜力类型将 15 个 RCEP 成员国分为三个潜力等级。此外,研究还发现,RCEP 成员国的贸易互补性与马来西亚棕榈油及其产品的出口规模呈显著正相关。该研究深入揭示了该地区棕榈油的贸易模式,为未来贸易政策的制定和产业发展提供了有价值的参考,并为马来西亚棕榈油产业的可持续发展相关研究奠定了基础。
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