{"title":"The economic institutions of artificial intelligence","authors":"Sinclair Davidson","doi":"10.1017/s1744137423000395","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper explores the role of artificial intelligence (AI) within economic institutions, focusing on bounded rationality as understood by Herbert Simon. Artificial Intelligence can do many things in the economy, such as increasing productivity, enhancing innovation, creating new sectors and jobs, and improving living standards. One of the ways that AI can disrupt the economy is by reducing the problem of bounded rationality. AI can help overcome this problem by processing large amounts of data, finding patterns and insights, and making predictions and recommendations. This insight raises the question: can AI overcome planning problems – could it be that central planning is now a viable option for economic organisation? This paper argues that AI does not make central planning viable at either the nation-state level or the firm level, simply because AI cannot resolve the knowledge problem as described by Ludwig von Mises and Friedrich Hayek.","PeriodicalId":47221,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Institutional Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Institutional Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1017/s1744137423000395","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This paper explores the role of artificial intelligence (AI) within economic institutions, focusing on bounded rationality as understood by Herbert Simon. Artificial Intelligence can do many things in the economy, such as increasing productivity, enhancing innovation, creating new sectors and jobs, and improving living standards. One of the ways that AI can disrupt the economy is by reducing the problem of bounded rationality. AI can help overcome this problem by processing large amounts of data, finding patterns and insights, and making predictions and recommendations. This insight raises the question: can AI overcome planning problems – could it be that central planning is now a viable option for economic organisation? This paper argues that AI does not make central planning viable at either the nation-state level or the firm level, simply because AI cannot resolve the knowledge problem as described by Ludwig von Mises and Friedrich Hayek.
本文探讨了人工智能(AI)在经济体制中的作用,重点是赫伯特-西蒙所理解的有界理性。人工智能在经济中可以做很多事情,比如提高生产力、加强创新、创造新的行业和工作岗位以及提高生活水平。人工智能颠覆经济的方法之一是减少有界理性问题。人工智能可以通过处理大量数据、发现模式和洞察力并做出预测和建议,帮助克服这一问题。这一洞察力提出了一个问题:人工智能能否克服规划问题--中央规划现在是否成为经济组织的可行选择?本文认为,无论是在民族国家层面还是在企业层面,人工智能都无法使中央计划变得可行,原因很简单,因为人工智能无法解决路德维希-冯-米塞斯(Ludwig von Mises)和弗里德里希-哈耶克(Friedrich Hayek)所描述的知识问题。