A new cold war?: The case for a general concept

IF 1.4 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Barry Buzan
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This paper argues for cold war as a general concept for IR that is necessary to understanding the twenty-first century world order. It distinguishes between hot and cold wars as types of war. It rejects the view that the term should be reserved for the 1947–89 event, and it argues that we are already in a Second Cold War. Its definition of cold war ties it to weapons of mass destruction, which means that cold wars did not exist before the twentieth century. Cold wars risk escalation into hot ones, but can also be fought to win/lose outcomes as happened with the First Cold War, or to some form of settlement. The Second Cold war will be fought differently from the First, with cyberwar playing a big role. And it will be influenced by the shared-fate threat of climate change in a way that the First Cold War was not. The most likely scenario is that it will be long and have no winner.

新冷战?一般概念的理由
本文认为,冷战是理解 21 世纪世界秩序所必需的国际关系一般概念。本文区分了冷战和热战这两种战争类型。本文反对将冷战保留给 1947-89 年事件的观点,并认为我们已经处于第二次冷战之中。它对冷战的定义将其与大规模毁灭性武器联系在一起,这意味着冷战在 20 世纪之前并不存在。冷战有可能升级为热战,但也有可能像第一次冷战那样分出胜负,或达成某种形式的和解。第二次冷战的打法将不同于第一次冷战,网络战将发挥重要作用。它还将受到气候变化这一共同命运威胁的影响,而第一次冷战则没有受到这种威胁的影响。最有可能出现的情况是,这场战争将旷日持久,没有赢家。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
7.10%
发文量
47
期刊介绍: International Politics?is a leading peer reviewed journal dedicated to transnational issues and global problems. It subscribes to no political or methodological identity and welcomes any appropriate contributions designed to communicate findings and enhance dialogue.International Politics?defines itself as critical in character truly international in scope and totally engaged with the central issues facing the world today. Taking as its point of departure the simple but essential notion that no one approach has all the answers it aims to provide a global forum for a rapidly expanding community of scholars from across the range of academic disciplines.International Politics?aims to encourage debate controversy and reflection. Topics addressed within the journal include:Rethinking the Clash of CivilizationsMyths of WestphaliaHolocaust and ChinaLeo Strauss and the Cold WarJustin Rosenberg and Globalisation TheoryPutin and the WestThe USA Post-BushCan China Rise Peacefully Just WarsCuba Castro and AfterGramsci and IRIs America in Decline。
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