Time Matters in Cross-Strait Relations: Tsai Ing-wen and Taiwan's Future

Jonathan Sullivan
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Abstract

In this article, I examine the ROC president's discursive response to PRC efforts to limit Taiwan's future possibilities and undermine confidence in Taiwan's future. I argue that the capacity to imagine the future, and perceiving agency to affect future outcomes, is crucial for national resilience. Since Taiwan is routinely exposed to factors known to cause reduced self-efficacy and morale – uncertainty, threat, marginalization, restricted agency, circumscribed action repertoires – it is crucial that Taiwanese people have a meaningful sense of “what are we striving for?” and confidence that they have the agency to realize these aspirations. The article sets out an empirical examination of discursive constructions of the future as a vector for enhancing cohesion and resolve in Taiwanese society. Foregrounding a novel dimension in the study of Taiwan, the article contributes both an interpretivist account of President Tsai Ing-wen's discourse and opens a new avenue for research on the largely neglected issue of futurity in cross-Strait relations.
两岸关系中的时间问题:蔡英文与台湾的未来
在这篇文章中,我研究了中华民国总统对中华人民共和国限制台湾未来可能性和破坏台湾未来信心的努力所做出的话语回应。我认为,对未来的想象能力以及影响未来结果的感知能力对国家复原力至关重要。由于台湾经常面临已知会导致自我效能感和士气下降的因素--不确定性、威胁、边缘化、代理权受限、行动范围受限--因此,台湾人民必须对 "我们的奋斗目标是什么 "有切实的认识,并相信自己有能力实现这些愿望。文章通过实证研究,将未来的话语建构作为增强台湾社会凝聚力和决心的载体。文章从台湾研究的一个新维度出发,对蔡英文总统的论述进行了诠释,并为研究两岸关系中被忽视的未来性问题开辟了一条新途径。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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