Hit-and-run or hit-and-stay? Unintended effects of a stricter BAC limit.

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-08-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-14 DOI:10.1111/risa.14280
Michael T French, Gulcin Gumus
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Although they comprise a relatively small subset of all traffic deaths, hit-and-run (HR) fatalities are both contemptible and preventable. We analyze longitudinal data from 1982 to 2008 to examine the effects of blood alcohol concentration (BAC) laws on HR traffic fatalities. Our results suggest that lower BAC limits may have an unintended consequence of increasing HR fatalities, whereas a similar effect is absent for non-HR fatalities. Specifically, we find that the adoption of a 0.08 BAC limit is associated to an 8.3% increase in HR fatalities. This unintended effect is more pronounced in urban areas and during weekends, which are typical settings for HR incidents.

肇事逃逸还是肇事滞留?更严格的酒精浓度限制的意外影响。
虽然肇事逃逸(HR)死亡事故在所有交通死亡事故中只占相对较小的一部分,但它既令人鄙视,又是可以预防的。我们分析了1982年至2008年的纵向数据,研究了血液酒精浓度(BAC)法律对交通肇事逃逸死亡事故的影响。我们的研究结果表明,较低的 BAC 限制可能会带来意外的后果,即增加 HR 死亡率,而对非 HR 死亡率则没有类似的影响。具体而言,我们发现,采用 0.08 BAC 酒精浓度限制会导致 HR 死亡率增加 8.3%。这种意外影响在城市地区和周末更为明显,而这正是发生 HR 事故的典型环境。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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