Nexus of Monetary Policy and Productivity in an Emerging Economy: Supply-Side Transmission Evidence from India

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
R. L. Manogna, Deepali Desai
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Abstract

Monetary policy and its transmissions have been debated by various schools of thought. The purpose of this paper is to empirically tests whether monetary policy has supply side effect influencing Indian economy’s total factor productivity. This study uses ARDL model to ascertain the long run relationship between monetary policy proxies and total factor productivity (TFP). Cointegration tests reveal that total factor productivity has a relationship with all of the monetary policy proxies. The ARDL results reveal a negative relationship between TFP and some monetary policy proxies in the short run, but a positive effect in the long run. These results showcase the possible supply side transmission of monetary policy in India, which can help in determining an optimal policy so as to augment TFP, an important driver of economic growth. The study only focusses on the Indian economy and spillover effects of other Asian economies on India’s TFP can also be examined.

Abstract Image

新兴经济体货币政策与生产力的关联:来自印度的供应方传导证据
不同学派对货币政策及其传导性一直争论不休。本文旨在通过实证检验货币政策是否会对印度经济的全要素生产率产生供给侧影响。本研究使用 ARDL 模型来确定货币政策代用指标与全要素生产率(TFP)之间的长期关系。协整检验显示,全要素生产率与所有货币政策代用指标都有关系。ARDL 结果显示,全要素生产率与某些货币政策代用指标之间在短期内存在负相关关系,但在长期内存在正效应。这些结果显示了印度货币政策可能存在的供给侧传导,有助于确定最佳政策,从而提高全要素生产率这一经济增长的重要驱动力。本研究只关注印度经济,其他亚洲经济体对印度全要素生产率的溢出效应也可加以研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: The Journal of Quantitative Economics (JQEC) is a refereed journal of the Indian Econometric Society (TIES). It solicits quantitative papers with basic or applied research orientation in all sub-fields of Economics that employ rigorous theoretical, empirical and experimental methods. The Journal also encourages Short Papers and Review Articles. Innovative and fundamental papers that focus on various facets of Economics of the Emerging Market and Developing Economies are particularly welcome. With the help of an international Editorial board and carefully selected referees, it aims to minimize the time taken to complete the review process while preserving the quality of the articles published.
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