A brief history of development theory. From Schumpeter and Prebisch to new developmentalism

Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira, José Luis Oreiro
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

ABSTRACT Classical developmentalism was heterodox economics that showed countries require a moderate intervention of the state in the economy to industrialize and catch up. Growth depends on investments and on a satisfying expected rate of profit, which import tariffs legitimized by the infant industry argument assure. Latin American countries adopted this industrial policy from the 1950s and experienced high growth rates. But the infant argument loses validity with time. In the 1980s, under the pressure of the Global North, Latin American countries adopted the neoliberal reforms, and are quasi-stagnant since then. New developmentalism emerged in the 2000s, made the critique of conventional economics, proposed a new growth strategy focused on a competitive exchange rate, and legitimized the use of import tariffs with the Dutch disease argument.
发展理论简史。从熊彼特和普雷比什到新发展主义
摘要 古典发展主义是一种异端经济学,它表明各国需要国家对经济进行适度干预,以实现工业化和赶超。增长取决于投资和令人满意的预期利润率,而通过新生工业论证而合法化的进口关税则确保了这一点。拉美国家从 20 世纪 50 年代开始采用这种工业政策,并取得了较高的增长率。但随着时间的推移,"幼稚论 "失去了有效性。20 世纪 80 年代,在全球北方国家的压力下,拉美国家实行了新自由主义改革,此后一直处于半停滞状态。新发展主义在 2000 年代兴起,对传统经济学进行了批判,提出了以竞争性汇率为核心的新增长战略,并以荷兰病为论据使进口关税的使用合法化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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